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Massive application of the SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic test: simulation of its effect on the evolution of the epidemic in Spain

In Spain, the epidemic curve caused by COVID-19 has reached its peak in the last days of March. The implementation of the blockade derived from the declaration of the state of alarm on 14th March has raised a discussion on how and when to deal with the unblocking. In this paper, we intend to add inf...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: López-Abente, Jacobo, Valor-Suarez, Clara, López-Abente, Gonzalo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Cambridge University Press 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7562775/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32988429
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0950268820002289
Descripción
Sumario:In Spain, the epidemic curve caused by COVID-19 has reached its peak in the last days of March. The implementation of the blockade derived from the declaration of the state of alarm on 14th March has raised a discussion on how and when to deal with the unblocking. In this paper, we intend to add information that may help by using epidemic simulation techniques with stochastic individual contact models and several extensions.