Cargando…

Greenhouse gas consequences of the China dual credit policy

For over ten years, China has been the largest vehicle market in the world. In order to address energy security and air quality concerns, China issued the Dual Credit policy to improve vehicle efficiency and accelerate New Energy Vehicle adoption. In this paper, a market-penetration model is combine...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: He, Xin, Ou, Shiqi, Gan, Yu, Lu, Zifeng, Przesmitzki, Steven Victor, Bouchard, Jessey Lee, Sui, Lang, Amer, Amer Ahmad, Lin, Zhenhong, Yu, Rujie, Zhou, Yan, Wang, Michael
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7566593/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33060579
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19036-w
_version_ 1783596160182648832
author He, Xin
Ou, Shiqi
Gan, Yu
Lu, Zifeng
Przesmitzki, Steven Victor
Bouchard, Jessey Lee
Sui, Lang
Amer, Amer Ahmad
Lin, Zhenhong
Yu, Rujie
Zhou, Yan
Wang, Michael
author_facet He, Xin
Ou, Shiqi
Gan, Yu
Lu, Zifeng
Przesmitzki, Steven Victor
Bouchard, Jessey Lee
Sui, Lang
Amer, Amer Ahmad
Lin, Zhenhong
Yu, Rujie
Zhou, Yan
Wang, Michael
author_sort He, Xin
collection PubMed
description For over ten years, China has been the largest vehicle market in the world. In order to address energy security and air quality concerns, China issued the Dual Credit policy to improve vehicle efficiency and accelerate New Energy Vehicle adoption. In this paper, a market-penetration model is combined with a vehicle fleet model to assess implications on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and energy demand. Here we use this integrated modeling framework to study several scenarios, including hypothetical policy tweaks, oil price, battery cost and charging infrastructure for the Chinese passenger vehicle fleet. The model shows that the total GHGs of the Chinese passenger vehicle fleet are expected to peak in 2032 under the Dual Credit policy. A significant reduction in GHG emissions is possible if more efficient internal combustion engines continue to be part of the technology mix in the short term with more New Energy Vehicle penetration in the long term.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7566593
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2020
publisher Nature Publishing Group UK
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-75665932020-10-19 Greenhouse gas consequences of the China dual credit policy He, Xin Ou, Shiqi Gan, Yu Lu, Zifeng Przesmitzki, Steven Victor Bouchard, Jessey Lee Sui, Lang Amer, Amer Ahmad Lin, Zhenhong Yu, Rujie Zhou, Yan Wang, Michael Nat Commun Article For over ten years, China has been the largest vehicle market in the world. In order to address energy security and air quality concerns, China issued the Dual Credit policy to improve vehicle efficiency and accelerate New Energy Vehicle adoption. In this paper, a market-penetration model is combined with a vehicle fleet model to assess implications on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and energy demand. Here we use this integrated modeling framework to study several scenarios, including hypothetical policy tweaks, oil price, battery cost and charging infrastructure for the Chinese passenger vehicle fleet. The model shows that the total GHGs of the Chinese passenger vehicle fleet are expected to peak in 2032 under the Dual Credit policy. A significant reduction in GHG emissions is possible if more efficient internal combustion engines continue to be part of the technology mix in the short term with more New Energy Vehicle penetration in the long term. Nature Publishing Group UK 2020-10-15 /pmc/articles/PMC7566593/ /pubmed/33060579 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19036-w Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
He, Xin
Ou, Shiqi
Gan, Yu
Lu, Zifeng
Przesmitzki, Steven Victor
Bouchard, Jessey Lee
Sui, Lang
Amer, Amer Ahmad
Lin, Zhenhong
Yu, Rujie
Zhou, Yan
Wang, Michael
Greenhouse gas consequences of the China dual credit policy
title Greenhouse gas consequences of the China dual credit policy
title_full Greenhouse gas consequences of the China dual credit policy
title_fullStr Greenhouse gas consequences of the China dual credit policy
title_full_unstemmed Greenhouse gas consequences of the China dual credit policy
title_short Greenhouse gas consequences of the China dual credit policy
title_sort greenhouse gas consequences of the china dual credit policy
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7566593/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33060579
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19036-w
work_keys_str_mv AT hexin greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy
AT oushiqi greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy
AT ganyu greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy
AT luzifeng greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy
AT przesmitzkistevenvictor greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy
AT bouchardjesseylee greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy
AT suilang greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy
AT ameramerahmad greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy
AT linzhenhong greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy
AT yurujie greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy
AT zhouyan greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy
AT wangmichael greenhousegasconsequencesofthechinadualcreditpolicy