Normalized difference vegetation index as the dominant predicting factor of groundwater recharge in phreatic aquifers: case studies across Iran

The estimation of long-term groundwater recharge rate ([Formula: see text] ) is a pre-requisite for efficient management of groundwater resources, especially for arid and semi-arid regions. Precise estimation of [Formula: see text] is probably the most difficult factor of all measurements in the evaluation of GW resources, particularly in semi-arid regions in which the recharge rate is typically small and/or regions with scarce hydrogeological data. The main objective of this study is to find and assess the predicting factors of [Formula: see text] at an aquifer scale. For this purpose, 325 Iran’s phreatic aquifers (61% of Iran’s aquifers) were selected based on the data availability and the effect of eight predicting factors were assessed on [Formula: see text] estimation. The predicting factors considered include Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), mean annual temperature ([Formula: see text] ), the ratio of precipitation to potential evapotranspiration ([Formula: see text] ), drainage density ([Formula: see text] ), mean annual specific discharge ([Formula: see text] ), Mean Slope ([Formula: see text] ), Soil Moisture ([Formula: see text] ), and population density ([Formula: see text] ). The local and global Moran’s I index, geographically weighted regression (GWR), and two-step cluster analysis served to support the spatial analysis of the results. The eight predicting factors considered are positively correlated to [Formula: see text] and the NDVI has the greatest influence followed by the [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] . In the regression model, NDVI solely explained 71% of the variation in [Formula: see text] , while other drivers have only a minor modification (3.6%). The results of this study provide new insight into the complex interrelationship between [Formula: see text] and vegetation density indicated by the NDVI. The findings of this study can help in better estimation of [Formula: see text] especially for the phreatic aquifers that the hydrogeological ground-data requisite for establishing models are scarce.