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Human Vulnerability to Landslides

Landslides pose a devastating threat to human health, killing thousands of people annually. Human vulnerability is a crucial element of landslide risk reduction, yet up until now, all methods for estimating the human consequences of landslides rely on subjective, expert judgment. Furthermore, these...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Pollock, William, Wartman, Joseph
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7567151/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33094206
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GH000287
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author Pollock, William
Wartman, Joseph
author_facet Pollock, William
Wartman, Joseph
author_sort Pollock, William
collection PubMed
description Landslides pose a devastating threat to human health, killing thousands of people annually. Human vulnerability is a crucial element of landslide risk reduction, yet up until now, all methods for estimating the human consequences of landslides rely on subjective, expert judgment. Furthermore, these methods do not explore the underlying causes of mortality or inform strategies to reduce landslide risk. In light of these issues, we develop a data‐driven tool to estimate an individual's probability of death based on landslide intensity, which can be used directly in landslide risk assessment. We find that between inundation depths of approximately 1–6 m, human behavior is the primary driver of mortality. Landslide vulnerability is strongly correlated with the economic development of a region, but landslide losses are not stratified by gender and age to the degree of other natural hazards. We observe that relatively simple actions, such as moving to an upper floor or a prepared refuge space, increase the odds of survival by up to a factor of 12. Additionally, community‐scale hazard awareness programs and training for citizen first responders offer a potent means to maximize survival rates in landslides.
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spelling pubmed-75671512020-10-21 Human Vulnerability to Landslides Pollock, William Wartman, Joseph Geohealth Research Articles Landslides pose a devastating threat to human health, killing thousands of people annually. Human vulnerability is a crucial element of landslide risk reduction, yet up until now, all methods for estimating the human consequences of landslides rely on subjective, expert judgment. Furthermore, these methods do not explore the underlying causes of mortality or inform strategies to reduce landslide risk. In light of these issues, we develop a data‐driven tool to estimate an individual's probability of death based on landslide intensity, which can be used directly in landslide risk assessment. We find that between inundation depths of approximately 1–6 m, human behavior is the primary driver of mortality. Landslide vulnerability is strongly correlated with the economic development of a region, but landslide losses are not stratified by gender and age to the degree of other natural hazards. We observe that relatively simple actions, such as moving to an upper floor or a prepared refuge space, increase the odds of survival by up to a factor of 12. Additionally, community‐scale hazard awareness programs and training for citizen first responders offer a potent means to maximize survival rates in landslides. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2020-10-01 /pmc/articles/PMC7567151/ /pubmed/33094206 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GH000287 Text en ©2020. The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Articles
Pollock, William
Wartman, Joseph
Human Vulnerability to Landslides
title Human Vulnerability to Landslides
title_full Human Vulnerability to Landslides
title_fullStr Human Vulnerability to Landslides
title_full_unstemmed Human Vulnerability to Landslides
title_short Human Vulnerability to Landslides
title_sort human vulnerability to landslides
topic Research Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7567151/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33094206
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GH000287
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