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Technical determinants of success in professional women’s soccer: A wider range of variables reveals new insights

Knowledge of optimal technical performance is used to determine match strategy and the design of training programs. Previous studies in men’s soccer have identified certain technical characteristics that are related to success. These studies however, have relative limited sample sizes or limited ran...

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Autores principales: de Jong, Laura M. S., Gastin, Paul B., Angelova, Maia, Bruce, Lyndell, Dwyer, Dan B.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7580913/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33091064
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0240992
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author de Jong, Laura M. S.
Gastin, Paul B.
Angelova, Maia
Bruce, Lyndell
Dwyer, Dan B.
author_facet de Jong, Laura M. S.
Gastin, Paul B.
Angelova, Maia
Bruce, Lyndell
Dwyer, Dan B.
author_sort de Jong, Laura M. S.
collection PubMed
description Knowledge of optimal technical performance is used to determine match strategy and the design of training programs. Previous studies in men’s soccer have identified certain technical characteristics that are related to success. These studies however, have relative limited sample sizes or limited ranges of performance indicators, which may have limited the analytical approaches that were used. Research in women’s soccer and our understanding of optimal technical performance, is even more limited (n = 3). Therefore, the aim of this study was to identify technical determinants of match outcome in the women’s game and to compare analytical approaches using a large sample size (n = 1390 team performances) and range of variables (n = 450). Three different analytical approaches (i.e. combinations of technical performance variables) were used, a data-driven approach, a rational approach and an approach based on the literature in men’s soccer. Match outcome was modelled using variables from each analytical approach, using generalised linear modelling and decision trees. It was found that the rational and data-driven approaches outperformed the literature-driven approach in predicting match outcome. The strongest determinants of match outcome were; scoring first, intentional assists relative to the opponent, the percentage of shots on goal saved by the goalkeeper relative to the opponent, shots on goal relative to the opponent and the percentage of duels that are successful. Moreover the rational and data-driven approach achieved higher prediction accuracies than comparable studies about men’s soccer.
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spelling pubmed-75809132020-10-27 Technical determinants of success in professional women’s soccer: A wider range of variables reveals new insights de Jong, Laura M. S. Gastin, Paul B. Angelova, Maia Bruce, Lyndell Dwyer, Dan B. PLoS One Research Article Knowledge of optimal technical performance is used to determine match strategy and the design of training programs. Previous studies in men’s soccer have identified certain technical characteristics that are related to success. These studies however, have relative limited sample sizes or limited ranges of performance indicators, which may have limited the analytical approaches that were used. Research in women’s soccer and our understanding of optimal technical performance, is even more limited (n = 3). Therefore, the aim of this study was to identify technical determinants of match outcome in the women’s game and to compare analytical approaches using a large sample size (n = 1390 team performances) and range of variables (n = 450). Three different analytical approaches (i.e. combinations of technical performance variables) were used, a data-driven approach, a rational approach and an approach based on the literature in men’s soccer. Match outcome was modelled using variables from each analytical approach, using generalised linear modelling and decision trees. It was found that the rational and data-driven approaches outperformed the literature-driven approach in predicting match outcome. The strongest determinants of match outcome were; scoring first, intentional assists relative to the opponent, the percentage of shots on goal saved by the goalkeeper relative to the opponent, shots on goal relative to the opponent and the percentage of duels that are successful. Moreover the rational and data-driven approach achieved higher prediction accuracies than comparable studies about men’s soccer. Public Library of Science 2020-10-22 /pmc/articles/PMC7580913/ /pubmed/33091064 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0240992 Text en © 2020 de Jong et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
de Jong, Laura M. S.
Gastin, Paul B.
Angelova, Maia
Bruce, Lyndell
Dwyer, Dan B.
Technical determinants of success in professional women’s soccer: A wider range of variables reveals new insights
title Technical determinants of success in professional women’s soccer: A wider range of variables reveals new insights
title_full Technical determinants of success in professional women’s soccer: A wider range of variables reveals new insights
title_fullStr Technical determinants of success in professional women’s soccer: A wider range of variables reveals new insights
title_full_unstemmed Technical determinants of success in professional women’s soccer: A wider range of variables reveals new insights
title_short Technical determinants of success in professional women’s soccer: A wider range of variables reveals new insights
title_sort technical determinants of success in professional women’s soccer: a wider range of variables reveals new insights
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7580913/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33091064
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0240992
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