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Forecasting influenza in Europe using a metapopulation model incorporating cross-border commuting and air travel
Past work has shown that models incorporating human travel can improve the quality of influenza forecasts. Here, we develop and validate a metapopulation model of twelve European countries, in which international translocation of virus is driven by observed commuting and air travel flows, and use th...
Autores principales: | Kramer, Sarah C., Pei, Sen, Shaman, Jeffrey |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7588111/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33052907 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008233 |
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