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Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling
Financial time series have a fractal nature that poses challenges for their dynamical characterization. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is one of the most influential financial indices, and due to its importance, it is adopted as a test bed for this study. The paper explores an alternative s...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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MDPI
2020
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7597287/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33286907 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e22101138 |
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author | Machado, José A. Tenreiro |
author_facet | Machado, José A. Tenreiro |
author_sort | Machado, José A. Tenreiro |
collection | PubMed |
description | Financial time series have a fractal nature that poses challenges for their dynamical characterization. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is one of the most influential financial indices, and due to its importance, it is adopted as a test bed for this study. The paper explores an alternative strategy to the standard time analysis, by joining the multidimensional scaling (MDS) computational tool and the concepts of distance, entropy, fractal dimension, and fractional calculus. First, several distances are considered to measure the similarities between objects under study and to yield proper input information to the MDS. Then, the MDS constructs a representation based on the similarity of the objects, where time can be viewed as a parametric variable. The resulting plots show a complex structure that is further analyzed with the Shannon entropy and fractal dimension. In a final step, a deeper and more detailed assessment is achieved by associating the concepts of fractional calculus and entropy. Indeed, the fractional-order entropy highlights the results obtained by the other tools, namely that the DJIA fractal nature is visible at different time scales with a fractional order memory that permeates the time series. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7597287 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | MDPI |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-75972872020-11-09 Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling Machado, José A. Tenreiro Entropy (Basel) Article Financial time series have a fractal nature that poses challenges for their dynamical characterization. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is one of the most influential financial indices, and due to its importance, it is adopted as a test bed for this study. The paper explores an alternative strategy to the standard time analysis, by joining the multidimensional scaling (MDS) computational tool and the concepts of distance, entropy, fractal dimension, and fractional calculus. First, several distances are considered to measure the similarities between objects under study and to yield proper input information to the MDS. Then, the MDS constructs a representation based on the similarity of the objects, where time can be viewed as a parametric variable. The resulting plots show a complex structure that is further analyzed with the Shannon entropy and fractal dimension. In a final step, a deeper and more detailed assessment is achieved by associating the concepts of fractional calculus and entropy. Indeed, the fractional-order entropy highlights the results obtained by the other tools, namely that the DJIA fractal nature is visible at different time scales with a fractional order memory that permeates the time series. MDPI 2020-10-08 /pmc/articles/PMC7597287/ /pubmed/33286907 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e22101138 Text en © 2020 by the author. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Article Machado, José A. Tenreiro Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling |
title | Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling |
title_full | Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling |
title_fullStr | Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling |
title_full_unstemmed | Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling |
title_short | Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling |
title_sort | fractal and entropy analysis of the dow jones index using multidimensional scaling |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7597287/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33286907 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e22101138 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT machadojoseatenreiro fractalandentropyanalysisofthedowjonesindexusingmultidimensionalscaling |