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Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling

Financial time series have a fractal nature that poses challenges for their dynamical characterization. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is one of the most influential financial indices, and due to its importance, it is adopted as a test bed for this study. The paper explores an alternative s...

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Autor principal: Machado, José A. Tenreiro
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7597287/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33286907
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e22101138
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author Machado, José A. Tenreiro
author_facet Machado, José A. Tenreiro
author_sort Machado, José A. Tenreiro
collection PubMed
description Financial time series have a fractal nature that poses challenges for their dynamical characterization. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is one of the most influential financial indices, and due to its importance, it is adopted as a test bed for this study. The paper explores an alternative strategy to the standard time analysis, by joining the multidimensional scaling (MDS) computational tool and the concepts of distance, entropy, fractal dimension, and fractional calculus. First, several distances are considered to measure the similarities between objects under study and to yield proper input information to the MDS. Then, the MDS constructs a representation based on the similarity of the objects, where time can be viewed as a parametric variable. The resulting plots show a complex structure that is further analyzed with the Shannon entropy and fractal dimension. In a final step, a deeper and more detailed assessment is achieved by associating the concepts of fractional calculus and entropy. Indeed, the fractional-order entropy highlights the results obtained by the other tools, namely that the DJIA fractal nature is visible at different time scales with a fractional order memory that permeates the time series.
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spelling pubmed-75972872020-11-09 Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling Machado, José A. Tenreiro Entropy (Basel) Article Financial time series have a fractal nature that poses challenges for their dynamical characterization. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is one of the most influential financial indices, and due to its importance, it is adopted as a test bed for this study. The paper explores an alternative strategy to the standard time analysis, by joining the multidimensional scaling (MDS) computational tool and the concepts of distance, entropy, fractal dimension, and fractional calculus. First, several distances are considered to measure the similarities between objects under study and to yield proper input information to the MDS. Then, the MDS constructs a representation based on the similarity of the objects, where time can be viewed as a parametric variable. The resulting plots show a complex structure that is further analyzed with the Shannon entropy and fractal dimension. In a final step, a deeper and more detailed assessment is achieved by associating the concepts of fractional calculus and entropy. Indeed, the fractional-order entropy highlights the results obtained by the other tools, namely that the DJIA fractal nature is visible at different time scales with a fractional order memory that permeates the time series. MDPI 2020-10-08 /pmc/articles/PMC7597287/ /pubmed/33286907 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e22101138 Text en © 2020 by the author. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Machado, José A. Tenreiro
Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling
title Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling
title_full Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling
title_fullStr Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling
title_full_unstemmed Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling
title_short Fractal and Entropy Analysis of the Dow Jones Index Using Multidimensional Scaling
title_sort fractal and entropy analysis of the dow jones index using multidimensional scaling
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7597287/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33286907
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e22101138
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