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SEAIR Epidemic spreading model of COVID-19
We study Susceptible-Exposed-Asymptomatic-Infectious-Recovered (SEAIR) epidemic spreading model of COVID-19. It captures two important characteristics of the infectiousness of COVID-19: delayed start and its appearance before onset of symptoms, or even with total absence of them. The model is theore...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier Ltd.
2021
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7598527/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33162690 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110394 |
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author | Basnarkov, Lasko |
author_facet | Basnarkov, Lasko |
author_sort | Basnarkov, Lasko |
collection | PubMed |
description | We study Susceptible-Exposed-Asymptomatic-Infectious-Recovered (SEAIR) epidemic spreading model of COVID-19. It captures two important characteristics of the infectiousness of COVID-19: delayed start and its appearance before onset of symptoms, or even with total absence of them. The model is theoretically analyzed in continuous-time compartmental version and discrete-time version on random regular graphs and complex networks. We show analytically that there are relationships between the epidemic thresholds and the equations for the susceptible populations at the endemic equilibrium in all three versions, which hold when the epidemic is weak. We provide theoretical arguments that eigenvector centrality of a node approximately determines its risk to become infected. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7598527 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Elsevier Ltd. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-75985272020-11-02 SEAIR Epidemic spreading model of COVID-19 Basnarkov, Lasko Chaos Solitons Fractals Article We study Susceptible-Exposed-Asymptomatic-Infectious-Recovered (SEAIR) epidemic spreading model of COVID-19. It captures two important characteristics of the infectiousness of COVID-19: delayed start and its appearance before onset of symptoms, or even with total absence of them. The model is theoretically analyzed in continuous-time compartmental version and discrete-time version on random regular graphs and complex networks. We show analytically that there are relationships between the epidemic thresholds and the equations for the susceptible populations at the endemic equilibrium in all three versions, which hold when the epidemic is weak. We provide theoretical arguments that eigenvector centrality of a node approximately determines its risk to become infected. Elsevier Ltd. 2021-01 2020-10-28 /pmc/articles/PMC7598527/ /pubmed/33162690 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110394 Text en © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Basnarkov, Lasko SEAIR Epidemic spreading model of COVID-19 |
title | SEAIR Epidemic spreading model of COVID-19 |
title_full | SEAIR Epidemic spreading model of COVID-19 |
title_fullStr | SEAIR Epidemic spreading model of COVID-19 |
title_full_unstemmed | SEAIR Epidemic spreading model of COVID-19 |
title_short | SEAIR Epidemic spreading model of COVID-19 |
title_sort | seair epidemic spreading model of covid-19 |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7598527/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33162690 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110394 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT basnarkovlasko seairepidemicspreadingmodelofcovid19 |