Cargando…

Graphical approaches for the control of generalized error rates

When simultaneously testing multiple hypotheses, the usual approach in the context of confirmatory clinical trials is to control the familywise error rate (FWER), which bounds the probability of making at least one false rejection. In many trial settings, these hypotheses will additionally have a hi...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Robertson, David S., Wason, James M. S., Bretz, Frank
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7612110/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32557848
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.8595
_version_ 1783605335556096000
author Robertson, David S.
Wason, James M. S.
Bretz, Frank
author_facet Robertson, David S.
Wason, James M. S.
Bretz, Frank
author_sort Robertson, David S.
collection PubMed
description When simultaneously testing multiple hypotheses, the usual approach in the context of confirmatory clinical trials is to control the familywise error rate (FWER), which bounds the probability of making at least one false rejection. In many trial settings, these hypotheses will additionally have a hierarchical structure that reflects the relative importance and links between different clinical objectives. The graphical approach of Bretz et al (2009) is a flexible and easily communicable way of controlling the FWER while respecting complex trial objectives and multiple structured hypotheses. However, the FWER can be a very stringent criterion that leads to procedures with low power, and may not be appropriate in exploratory trial settings. This motivates controlling generalized error rates, particularly when the number of hypotheses tested is no longer small. We consider the generalized familywise error rate (k-FWER), which is the probability of making k or more false rejections, as well as the tail probability of the false discovery proportion (FDP), which is the probability that the proportion of false rejections is greater than some threshold. We also consider asymptotic control of the false discovery rate, which is the expectation of the FDP. In this article, we show how to control these generalized error rates when using the graphical approach and its extensions. We demonstrate the utility of the resulting graphical procedures on three clinical trial case studies.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7612110
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2020
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-76121102021-12-16 Graphical approaches for the control of generalized error rates Robertson, David S. Wason, James M. S. Bretz, Frank Stat Med Article When simultaneously testing multiple hypotheses, the usual approach in the context of confirmatory clinical trials is to control the familywise error rate (FWER), which bounds the probability of making at least one false rejection. In many trial settings, these hypotheses will additionally have a hierarchical structure that reflects the relative importance and links between different clinical objectives. The graphical approach of Bretz et al (2009) is a flexible and easily communicable way of controlling the FWER while respecting complex trial objectives and multiple structured hypotheses. However, the FWER can be a very stringent criterion that leads to procedures with low power, and may not be appropriate in exploratory trial settings. This motivates controlling generalized error rates, particularly when the number of hypotheses tested is no longer small. We consider the generalized familywise error rate (k-FWER), which is the probability of making k or more false rejections, as well as the tail probability of the false discovery proportion (FDP), which is the probability that the proportion of false rejections is greater than some threshold. We also consider asymptotic control of the false discovery rate, which is the expectation of the FDP. In this article, we show how to control these generalized error rates when using the graphical approach and its extensions. We demonstrate the utility of the resulting graphical procedures on three clinical trial case studies. 2020-10-15 2020-06-17 /pmc/articles/PMC7612110/ /pubmed/32557848 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.8595 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Article
Robertson, David S.
Wason, James M. S.
Bretz, Frank
Graphical approaches for the control of generalized error rates
title Graphical approaches for the control of generalized error rates
title_full Graphical approaches for the control of generalized error rates
title_fullStr Graphical approaches for the control of generalized error rates
title_full_unstemmed Graphical approaches for the control of generalized error rates
title_short Graphical approaches for the control of generalized error rates
title_sort graphical approaches for the control of generalized error rates
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7612110/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32557848
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.8595
work_keys_str_mv AT robertsondavids graphicalapproachesforthecontrolofgeneralizederrorrates
AT wasonjamesms graphicalapproachesforthecontrolofgeneralizederrorrates
AT bretzfrank graphicalapproachesforthecontrolofgeneralizederrorrates