Prognostic factors of patients with initially diagnosed T1a glottic cancer: Novel nomograms and a propensity-score matched cohort analysis

The option of T1a glottic cancer treatments remarkably varied in different countries. This study aimed to construct predictive models to predict overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of patients with initially diagnosed T1a glottic cancer. And we used propensity score matching (PSM) to reassess the effect of treatments. Data of patients with initially diagnosed T1a glottic cancer were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Patients with complete information were randomly divided into the training and the validation cohorts (7:3). Cox regression was conducted to screen significant predictors of the OS and the CSS. PSM was performed to mimic randomized controlled trials. Survival analyses were performed by Kaplan–Meier survival methods, and log-rank tests were utilized. A total of 2342 patients met the inclusion criteria. Survival analyses showed that patients who underwent primary site surgery would have better OS and CSS. Univariate analyses and multivariate analyses proved that stage, N stage, primary site surgery, and chemotherapy significantly affected both the OS and the CSS. Predictive nomograms were established to predict patients’ prognosis. Finally, the OS and the CSS for patients who underwent primary site surgery alone were significantly longer than those who underwent radiation alone before and after PSM. We constructed nomograms predicting the OS and the CSS of patients with initially diagnosed T1a glottic cancer. Compared to our previous studies, this study indicated that primary site surgery may be superior to radiation and chemotherapy. At present, chemotherapy should be not recommended for T1a glottic cancer patients.