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Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries
BACKGROUND: This study aimed to assess the impact of 15 days before, 15 days during, and 15 days after the lockdown on the trends in the prevalence and mortality in 27 countries during COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: Twenty-seven countries were randomly selected from the different continents. The inform...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
BioMed Central
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7652585/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33168104 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-020-00456-9 |
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author | Meo, Sultan Ayoub Abukhalaf, Abdulelah Adnan Alomar, Ali Abdullah AlMutairi, Faris Jamal Usmani, Adnan Mahmood Klonoff, David C. |
author_facet | Meo, Sultan Ayoub Abukhalaf, Abdulelah Adnan Alomar, Ali Abdullah AlMutairi, Faris Jamal Usmani, Adnan Mahmood Klonoff, David C. |
author_sort | Meo, Sultan Ayoub |
collection | PubMed |
description | BACKGROUND: This study aimed to assess the impact of 15 days before, 15 days during, and 15 days after the lockdown on the trends in the prevalence and mortality in 27 countries during COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: Twenty-seven countries were randomly selected from the different continents. The information on the trends in the prevalence and mortality due to COVID-19 pandemic in 27 countries was obtained from World Health Organization and lockdown data were obtained from concerned countries and their ministries. The impact of lockdown for 15 days before, 15 days during, and 15 days after the lockdown on the prevalence and mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 27 countries was analyzed. RESULTS: The findings showed that 15 days after the lockdown there was a trend toward a decline, but no significant decline in the mean prevalence and mean mortality rate due to the COVID-19 pandemic compared to 15 days before, and 15 days during the lockdown in 27 countries. The mean growth factor for number of cases was 1.18 and for mortality rate was 1.16. CONCLUSIONS: The findings indicate that 15 days after the lockdown, daily cases of COVID-19 and the growth factor of the disease showed a declined trend, but there was no significant decline in the prevalence and mortality. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7652585 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | BioMed Central |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-76525852020-11-10 Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries Meo, Sultan Ayoub Abukhalaf, Abdulelah Adnan Alomar, Ali Abdullah AlMutairi, Faris Jamal Usmani, Adnan Mahmood Klonoff, David C. Eur J Med Res Research BACKGROUND: This study aimed to assess the impact of 15 days before, 15 days during, and 15 days after the lockdown on the trends in the prevalence and mortality in 27 countries during COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: Twenty-seven countries were randomly selected from the different continents. The information on the trends in the prevalence and mortality due to COVID-19 pandemic in 27 countries was obtained from World Health Organization and lockdown data were obtained from concerned countries and their ministries. The impact of lockdown for 15 days before, 15 days during, and 15 days after the lockdown on the prevalence and mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 27 countries was analyzed. RESULTS: The findings showed that 15 days after the lockdown there was a trend toward a decline, but no significant decline in the mean prevalence and mean mortality rate due to the COVID-19 pandemic compared to 15 days before, and 15 days during the lockdown in 27 countries. The mean growth factor for number of cases was 1.18 and for mortality rate was 1.16. CONCLUSIONS: The findings indicate that 15 days after the lockdown, daily cases of COVID-19 and the growth factor of the disease showed a declined trend, but there was no significant decline in the prevalence and mortality. BioMed Central 2020-11-10 /pmc/articles/PMC7652585/ /pubmed/33168104 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-020-00456-9 Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data. |
spellingShingle | Research Meo, Sultan Ayoub Abukhalaf, Abdulelah Adnan Alomar, Ali Abdullah AlMutairi, Faris Jamal Usmani, Adnan Mahmood Klonoff, David C. Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries |
title | Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries |
title_full | Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries |
title_fullStr | Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries |
title_full_unstemmed | Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries |
title_short | Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries |
title_sort | impact of lockdown on covid-19 prevalence and mortality during 2020 pandemic: observational analysis of 27 countries |
topic | Research |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7652585/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33168104 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40001-020-00456-9 |
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