Cargando…

A simplified economic model for inertial fusion

A simple model for the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of an inertial fusion power plant is developed. The model has 14 parameters. These have been designed to be technology agnostic, such that the model may be applied broadly to all variants of inertial fusion. It is also designed to allow eas...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Hawker, Nicholas
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society Publishing 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7658748/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33040650
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2020.0053
_version_ 1783608735664439296
author Hawker, Nicholas
author_facet Hawker, Nicholas
author_sort Hawker, Nicholas
collection PubMed
description A simple model for the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of an inertial fusion power plant is developed. The model has 14 parameters. These have been designed to be technology agnostic, such that the model may be applied broadly to all variants of inertial fusion. It is also designed to allow easy use of proxies from existing technology. The variables related most intimately to the physics challenges of inertial fusion, such as gain and target cost, are treated as parameters such that requirements can be found without bringing complex physics into the model. A Monte Carlo approach is taken to explore the parameter space. The most important conclusion is that a combination of high gain (greater than 500) and high fusion energy yield per shot (greater than 5 GJ) together appear to unlock more cost competitive designs than those in the existing literature. Designs with LCOE as low as $25/MWh are found with optimistic but not obviously unrealistic inputs. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue ‘Prospects for high gain inertial fusion energy (part 1)'.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7658748
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2020
publisher The Royal Society Publishing
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-76587482020-11-13 A simplified economic model for inertial fusion Hawker, Nicholas Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci Articles A simple model for the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of an inertial fusion power plant is developed. The model has 14 parameters. These have been designed to be technology agnostic, such that the model may be applied broadly to all variants of inertial fusion. It is also designed to allow easy use of proxies from existing technology. The variables related most intimately to the physics challenges of inertial fusion, such as gain and target cost, are treated as parameters such that requirements can be found without bringing complex physics into the model. A Monte Carlo approach is taken to explore the parameter space. The most important conclusion is that a combination of high gain (greater than 500) and high fusion energy yield per shot (greater than 5 GJ) together appear to unlock more cost competitive designs than those in the existing literature. Designs with LCOE as low as $25/MWh are found with optimistic but not obviously unrealistic inputs. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue ‘Prospects for high gain inertial fusion energy (part 1)'. The Royal Society Publishing 2020-11-13 2020-10-12 /pmc/articles/PMC7658748/ /pubmed/33040650 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2020.0053 Text en © 2020 The Authors. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Articles
Hawker, Nicholas
A simplified economic model for inertial fusion
title A simplified economic model for inertial fusion
title_full A simplified economic model for inertial fusion
title_fullStr A simplified economic model for inertial fusion
title_full_unstemmed A simplified economic model for inertial fusion
title_short A simplified economic model for inertial fusion
title_sort simplified economic model for inertial fusion
topic Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7658748/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33040650
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2020.0053
work_keys_str_mv AT hawkernicholas asimplifiedeconomicmodelforinertialfusion
AT hawkernicholas simplifiedeconomicmodelforinertialfusion