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A simplified economic model for inertial fusion
A simple model for the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of an inertial fusion power plant is developed. The model has 14 parameters. These have been designed to be technology agnostic, such that the model may be applied broadly to all variants of inertial fusion. It is also designed to allow eas...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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The Royal Society Publishing
2020
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7658748/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33040650 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2020.0053 |
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author | Hawker, Nicholas |
author_facet | Hawker, Nicholas |
author_sort | Hawker, Nicholas |
collection | PubMed |
description | A simple model for the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of an inertial fusion power plant is developed. The model has 14 parameters. These have been designed to be technology agnostic, such that the model may be applied broadly to all variants of inertial fusion. It is also designed to allow easy use of proxies from existing technology. The variables related most intimately to the physics challenges of inertial fusion, such as gain and target cost, are treated as parameters such that requirements can be found without bringing complex physics into the model. A Monte Carlo approach is taken to explore the parameter space. The most important conclusion is that a combination of high gain (greater than 500) and high fusion energy yield per shot (greater than 5 GJ) together appear to unlock more cost competitive designs than those in the existing literature. Designs with LCOE as low as $25/MWh are found with optimistic but not obviously unrealistic inputs. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue ‘Prospects for high gain inertial fusion energy (part 1)'. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7658748 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | The Royal Society Publishing |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-76587482020-11-13 A simplified economic model for inertial fusion Hawker, Nicholas Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci Articles A simple model for the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of an inertial fusion power plant is developed. The model has 14 parameters. These have been designed to be technology agnostic, such that the model may be applied broadly to all variants of inertial fusion. It is also designed to allow easy use of proxies from existing technology. The variables related most intimately to the physics challenges of inertial fusion, such as gain and target cost, are treated as parameters such that requirements can be found without bringing complex physics into the model. A Monte Carlo approach is taken to explore the parameter space. The most important conclusion is that a combination of high gain (greater than 500) and high fusion energy yield per shot (greater than 5 GJ) together appear to unlock more cost competitive designs than those in the existing literature. Designs with LCOE as low as $25/MWh are found with optimistic but not obviously unrealistic inputs. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue ‘Prospects for high gain inertial fusion energy (part 1)'. The Royal Society Publishing 2020-11-13 2020-10-12 /pmc/articles/PMC7658748/ /pubmed/33040650 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2020.0053 Text en © 2020 The Authors. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Articles Hawker, Nicholas A simplified economic model for inertial fusion |
title | A simplified economic model for inertial fusion |
title_full | A simplified economic model for inertial fusion |
title_fullStr | A simplified economic model for inertial fusion |
title_full_unstemmed | A simplified economic model for inertial fusion |
title_short | A simplified economic model for inertial fusion |
title_sort | simplified economic model for inertial fusion |
topic | Articles |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7658748/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33040650 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2020.0053 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT hawkernicholas asimplifiedeconomicmodelforinertialfusion AT hawkernicholas simplifiedeconomicmodelforinertialfusion |