Cargando…
Predicted climate change will increase the truffle cultivation potential in central Europe
Climate change affects the distribution of many species, including Burgundy and Périgord truffles in central and southern Europe, respectively. The cultivation potential of these high-prized cash crops under future warming, however, remains highly uncertain. Here we perform a literature review to de...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2020
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7719165/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33277535 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-76177-0 |
_version_ | 1783619622817234944 |
---|---|
author | Čejka, Tomáš Trnka, Miroslav Krusic, Paul J. Stobbe, Ulrich Oliach, Daniel Václavík, Tomáš Tegel, Willy Büntgen, Ulf |
author_facet | Čejka, Tomáš Trnka, Miroslav Krusic, Paul J. Stobbe, Ulrich Oliach, Daniel Václavík, Tomáš Tegel, Willy Büntgen, Ulf |
author_sort | Čejka, Tomáš |
collection | PubMed |
description | Climate change affects the distribution of many species, including Burgundy and Périgord truffles in central and southern Europe, respectively. The cultivation potential of these high-prized cash crops under future warming, however, remains highly uncertain. Here we perform a literature review to define the ecological requirements for the growth of both truffle species. This information is used to develop niche models, and to estimate their cultivation potential in the Czech Republic under current (2020) and future (2050) climate conditions. The Burgundy truffle is already highly suitable for cultivation on ~ 14% of agricultural land in the Czech Republic (8486 km(2)), whereas only ~ 8% of the warmest part of southern Moravia are currently characterised by a low suitability for Périgord truffles (6418 km(2)). Though rising temperatures under RCP8.5 will reduce the highly suitable cultivation areas by 7%, the 250 km(2) (3%) expansion under low-emission scenarios will stimulate Burgundy truffles to benefit from future warming. Doubling the moderate and expanding the highly suitable land by 352 km(2) in 2050, the overall cultivation potential for Périgord truffles will rise substantially. Our findings suggest that Burgundy and Périgord truffles could become important high-value crops for many regions in central Europe with alkaline soils. Although associated with uncertainty, long-term investments in truffle cultivation could generate a wide range of ecological and economic benefits. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7719165 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-77191652020-12-08 Predicted climate change will increase the truffle cultivation potential in central Europe Čejka, Tomáš Trnka, Miroslav Krusic, Paul J. Stobbe, Ulrich Oliach, Daniel Václavík, Tomáš Tegel, Willy Büntgen, Ulf Sci Rep Article Climate change affects the distribution of many species, including Burgundy and Périgord truffles in central and southern Europe, respectively. The cultivation potential of these high-prized cash crops under future warming, however, remains highly uncertain. Here we perform a literature review to define the ecological requirements for the growth of both truffle species. This information is used to develop niche models, and to estimate their cultivation potential in the Czech Republic under current (2020) and future (2050) climate conditions. The Burgundy truffle is already highly suitable for cultivation on ~ 14% of agricultural land in the Czech Republic (8486 km(2)), whereas only ~ 8% of the warmest part of southern Moravia are currently characterised by a low suitability for Périgord truffles (6418 km(2)). Though rising temperatures under RCP8.5 will reduce the highly suitable cultivation areas by 7%, the 250 km(2) (3%) expansion under low-emission scenarios will stimulate Burgundy truffles to benefit from future warming. Doubling the moderate and expanding the highly suitable land by 352 km(2) in 2050, the overall cultivation potential for Périgord truffles will rise substantially. Our findings suggest that Burgundy and Périgord truffles could become important high-value crops for many regions in central Europe with alkaline soils. Although associated with uncertainty, long-term investments in truffle cultivation could generate a wide range of ecological and economic benefits. Nature Publishing Group UK 2020-12-04 /pmc/articles/PMC7719165/ /pubmed/33277535 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-76177-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. |
spellingShingle | Article Čejka, Tomáš Trnka, Miroslav Krusic, Paul J. Stobbe, Ulrich Oliach, Daniel Václavík, Tomáš Tegel, Willy Büntgen, Ulf Predicted climate change will increase the truffle cultivation potential in central Europe |
title | Predicted climate change will increase the truffle cultivation potential in central Europe |
title_full | Predicted climate change will increase the truffle cultivation potential in central Europe |
title_fullStr | Predicted climate change will increase the truffle cultivation potential in central Europe |
title_full_unstemmed | Predicted climate change will increase the truffle cultivation potential in central Europe |
title_short | Predicted climate change will increase the truffle cultivation potential in central Europe |
title_sort | predicted climate change will increase the truffle cultivation potential in central europe |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7719165/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33277535 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-76177-0 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT cejkatomas predictedclimatechangewillincreasethetrufflecultivationpotentialincentraleurope AT trnkamiroslav predictedclimatechangewillincreasethetrufflecultivationpotentialincentraleurope AT krusicpaulj predictedclimatechangewillincreasethetrufflecultivationpotentialincentraleurope AT stobbeulrich predictedclimatechangewillincreasethetrufflecultivationpotentialincentraleurope AT oliachdaniel predictedclimatechangewillincreasethetrufflecultivationpotentialincentraleurope AT vaclaviktomas predictedclimatechangewillincreasethetrufflecultivationpotentialincentraleurope AT tegelwilly predictedclimatechangewillincreasethetrufflecultivationpotentialincentraleurope AT buntgenulf predictedclimatechangewillincreasethetrufflecultivationpotentialincentraleurope |