Associations between Japanese spotted fever (JSF) cases and wildlife distribution on the Boso Peninsula, Central Japan (2006–2017)

Populations of large mammals have been dramatically increasing in Japan, resulting in damage to agriculture, forestry, and ecosystems. However, their effects on tick-borne diseases have been poorly studied. Here, we focused on the relationship between Japanese spotted fever (JSF), a tick-borne disease caused by Rickettsia japonica, and populations of large mammals. To explore factors that affected the area in which JSF cases occur, we used generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs). We demonstrated that the expansion of the area of JSF occurrence can be predicted by deer density and geographical factors, which is likely due to differences in landscape structure. However, the associated models have limitations because of the lack of information about the distribution of vectors and reservoirs. To reduce the risk of humans contracting JSF, potential reservoirs should be confirmed.