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CoMix: comparing mixing patterns in the Belgian population during and after lockdown

The COVID-19 pandemic has shown how a newly emergent communicable disease can lay considerable burden on public health. To avoid system collapse, governments have resorted to several social distancing measures. In Belgium, this included a lockdown and a following period of phased re-opening. A repre...

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Autores principales: Coletti, Pietro, Wambua, James, Gimma, Amy, Willem, Lander, Vercruysse, Sarah, Vanhoutte, Bieke, Jarvis, Christopher I., Van Zandvoort, Kevin, Edmunds, John, Beutels, Philippe, Hens, Niel
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7736856/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33318521
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-78540-7
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author Coletti, Pietro
Wambua, James
Gimma, Amy
Willem, Lander
Vercruysse, Sarah
Vanhoutte, Bieke
Jarvis, Christopher I.
Van Zandvoort, Kevin
Edmunds, John
Beutels, Philippe
Hens, Niel
author_facet Coletti, Pietro
Wambua, James
Gimma, Amy
Willem, Lander
Vercruysse, Sarah
Vanhoutte, Bieke
Jarvis, Christopher I.
Van Zandvoort, Kevin
Edmunds, John
Beutels, Philippe
Hens, Niel
author_sort Coletti, Pietro
collection PubMed
description The COVID-19 pandemic has shown how a newly emergent communicable disease can lay considerable burden on public health. To avoid system collapse, governments have resorted to several social distancing measures. In Belgium, this included a lockdown and a following period of phased re-opening. A representative sample of Belgian adults was asked about their contact behaviour from mid-April to the beginning of August, during different stages of the intervention measures in Belgium. Use of personal protection equipment (face masks) and compliance to hygienic measures was also reported. We estimated the expected reproduction number computing the ratio of [Formula: see text] with respect to pre-pandemic data. During the first two waves (the first month) of the survey, the reduction in the average number of contacts was around 80% and was quite consistent across all age-classes. The average number of contacts increased over time, particularly for the younger age classes, still remaining significantly lower than pre-pandemic values. From the end of May to the end of July , the estimated reproduction number has a median value larger than one, although with a wide dispersion. Estimated [Formula: see text] fell below one again at the beginning of August. We have shown how a rapidly deployed survey can measure compliance to social distancing and assess its impact on COVID-19 spread. Monitoring the effectiveness of social distancing recommendations is of paramount importance to avoid further waves of COVID-19.
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spelling pubmed-77368562020-12-15 CoMix: comparing mixing patterns in the Belgian population during and after lockdown Coletti, Pietro Wambua, James Gimma, Amy Willem, Lander Vercruysse, Sarah Vanhoutte, Bieke Jarvis, Christopher I. Van Zandvoort, Kevin Edmunds, John Beutels, Philippe Hens, Niel Sci Rep Article The COVID-19 pandemic has shown how a newly emergent communicable disease can lay considerable burden on public health. To avoid system collapse, governments have resorted to several social distancing measures. In Belgium, this included a lockdown and a following period of phased re-opening. A representative sample of Belgian adults was asked about their contact behaviour from mid-April to the beginning of August, during different stages of the intervention measures in Belgium. Use of personal protection equipment (face masks) and compliance to hygienic measures was also reported. We estimated the expected reproduction number computing the ratio of [Formula: see text] with respect to pre-pandemic data. During the first two waves (the first month) of the survey, the reduction in the average number of contacts was around 80% and was quite consistent across all age-classes. The average number of contacts increased over time, particularly for the younger age classes, still remaining significantly lower than pre-pandemic values. From the end of May to the end of July , the estimated reproduction number has a median value larger than one, although with a wide dispersion. Estimated [Formula: see text] fell below one again at the beginning of August. We have shown how a rapidly deployed survey can measure compliance to social distancing and assess its impact on COVID-19 spread. Monitoring the effectiveness of social distancing recommendations is of paramount importance to avoid further waves of COVID-19. Nature Publishing Group UK 2020-12-14 /pmc/articles/PMC7736856/ /pubmed/33318521 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-78540-7 Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Coletti, Pietro
Wambua, James
Gimma, Amy
Willem, Lander
Vercruysse, Sarah
Vanhoutte, Bieke
Jarvis, Christopher I.
Van Zandvoort, Kevin
Edmunds, John
Beutels, Philippe
Hens, Niel
CoMix: comparing mixing patterns in the Belgian population during and after lockdown
title CoMix: comparing mixing patterns in the Belgian population during and after lockdown
title_full CoMix: comparing mixing patterns in the Belgian population during and after lockdown
title_fullStr CoMix: comparing mixing patterns in the Belgian population during and after lockdown
title_full_unstemmed CoMix: comparing mixing patterns in the Belgian population during and after lockdown
title_short CoMix: comparing mixing patterns in the Belgian population during and after lockdown
title_sort comix: comparing mixing patterns in the belgian population during and after lockdown
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7736856/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33318521
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-78540-7
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