Cargando…

Dangers of the Defaults: A Tutorial on the Impact of Default Priors When Using Bayesian SEM With Small Samples

When Bayesian estimation is used to analyze Structural Equation Models (SEMs), prior distributions need to be specified for all parameters in the model. Many popular software programs offer default prior distributions, which is helpful for novel users and makes Bayesian SEM accessible for a broad au...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Smid, Sanne C., Winter, Sonja D.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7759471/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33362673
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.611963
_version_ 1783627115124490240
author Smid, Sanne C.
Winter, Sonja D.
author_facet Smid, Sanne C.
Winter, Sonja D.
author_sort Smid, Sanne C.
collection PubMed
description When Bayesian estimation is used to analyze Structural Equation Models (SEMs), prior distributions need to be specified for all parameters in the model. Many popular software programs offer default prior distributions, which is helpful for novel users and makes Bayesian SEM accessible for a broad audience. However, when the sample size is small, those prior distributions are not always suitable and can lead to untrustworthy results. In this tutorial, we provide a non-technical discussion of the risks associated with the use of default priors in small sample contexts. We discuss how default priors can unintentionally behave as highly informative priors when samples are small. Also, we demonstrate an online educational Shiny app, in which users can explore the impact of varying prior distributions and sample sizes on model results. We discuss how the Shiny app can be used in teaching; provide a reading list with literature on how to specify suitable prior distributions; and discuss guidelines on how to recognize (mis)behaving priors. It is our hope that this tutorial helps to spread awareness of the importance of specifying suitable priors when Bayesian SEM is used with small samples.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7759471
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2020
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-77594712020-12-26 Dangers of the Defaults: A Tutorial on the Impact of Default Priors When Using Bayesian SEM With Small Samples Smid, Sanne C. Winter, Sonja D. Front Psychol Psychology When Bayesian estimation is used to analyze Structural Equation Models (SEMs), prior distributions need to be specified for all parameters in the model. Many popular software programs offer default prior distributions, which is helpful for novel users and makes Bayesian SEM accessible for a broad audience. However, when the sample size is small, those prior distributions are not always suitable and can lead to untrustworthy results. In this tutorial, we provide a non-technical discussion of the risks associated with the use of default priors in small sample contexts. We discuss how default priors can unintentionally behave as highly informative priors when samples are small. Also, we demonstrate an online educational Shiny app, in which users can explore the impact of varying prior distributions and sample sizes on model results. We discuss how the Shiny app can be used in teaching; provide a reading list with literature on how to specify suitable prior distributions; and discuss guidelines on how to recognize (mis)behaving priors. It is our hope that this tutorial helps to spread awareness of the importance of specifying suitable priors when Bayesian SEM is used with small samples. Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-12-11 /pmc/articles/PMC7759471/ /pubmed/33362673 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.611963 Text en Copyright © 2020 Smid and Winter. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Psychology
Smid, Sanne C.
Winter, Sonja D.
Dangers of the Defaults: A Tutorial on the Impact of Default Priors When Using Bayesian SEM With Small Samples
title Dangers of the Defaults: A Tutorial on the Impact of Default Priors When Using Bayesian SEM With Small Samples
title_full Dangers of the Defaults: A Tutorial on the Impact of Default Priors When Using Bayesian SEM With Small Samples
title_fullStr Dangers of the Defaults: A Tutorial on the Impact of Default Priors When Using Bayesian SEM With Small Samples
title_full_unstemmed Dangers of the Defaults: A Tutorial on the Impact of Default Priors When Using Bayesian SEM With Small Samples
title_short Dangers of the Defaults: A Tutorial on the Impact of Default Priors When Using Bayesian SEM With Small Samples
title_sort dangers of the defaults: a tutorial on the impact of default priors when using bayesian sem with small samples
topic Psychology
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7759471/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33362673
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.611963
work_keys_str_mv AT smidsannec dangersofthedefaultsatutorialontheimpactofdefaultpriorswhenusingbayesiansemwithsmallsamples
AT wintersonjad dangersofthedefaultsatutorialontheimpactofdefaultpriorswhenusingbayesiansemwithsmallsamples