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Easily created prediction model using deep learning software (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc.) for subarachnoid hemorrhage outcomes from small dataset at admission

BACKGROUND: Reliable prediction models of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) outcomes are needed for decision-making of the treatment. SAFIRE score using only four variables is a good prediction scoring system. However, making such prediction models needs a large number of samples and time-consuming stat...

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Autores principales: Katsuki, Masahito, Kakizawa, Yukinari, Nishikawa, Akihiro, Yamamoto, Yasunaga, Uchiyama, Toshiya
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Scientific Scholar 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7771510/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33408908
http://dx.doi.org/10.25259/SNI_636_2020
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author Katsuki, Masahito
Kakizawa, Yukinari
Nishikawa, Akihiro
Yamamoto, Yasunaga
Uchiyama, Toshiya
author_facet Katsuki, Masahito
Kakizawa, Yukinari
Nishikawa, Akihiro
Yamamoto, Yasunaga
Uchiyama, Toshiya
author_sort Katsuki, Masahito
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: Reliable prediction models of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) outcomes are needed for decision-making of the treatment. SAFIRE score using only four variables is a good prediction scoring system. However, making such prediction models needs a large number of samples and time-consuming statistical analysis. Deep learning (DL), one of the artificial intelligence, is attractive, but there were no reports on prediction models for SAH outcomes using DL. We herein made a prediction model using DL software, Prediction One (Sony Network Communications Inc., Tokyo, Japan) and compared it to SAFIRE score. METHODS: We used 153 consecutive aneurysmal SAH patients data in our hospital between 2012 and 2019. Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0–3 at 6 months was defined as a favorable outcome. We randomly divided them into 102 patients training dataset and 51 patients external validation dataset. Prediction one made the prediction model using the training dataset with internal cross-validation. We used both the created model and SAFIRE score to predict the outcomes using the external validation set. The areas under the curve (AUCs) were compared. RESULTS: The model made by Prediction One using 28 variables had AUC of 0.848, and its AUC for the validation dataset was 0.953 (95%CI 0.900–1.000). AUCs calculated using SAFIRE score were 0.875 for the training dataset and 0.960 for the validation dataset, respectively. CONCLUSION: We easily and quickly made prediction models using Prediction One, even with a small single-center dataset. The accuracy of the model was not so inferior to those of previous statistically calculated prediction models.
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spelling pubmed-77715102021-01-05 Easily created prediction model using deep learning software (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc.) for subarachnoid hemorrhage outcomes from small dataset at admission Katsuki, Masahito Kakizawa, Yukinari Nishikawa, Akihiro Yamamoto, Yasunaga Uchiyama, Toshiya Surg Neurol Int Original Article BACKGROUND: Reliable prediction models of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) outcomes are needed for decision-making of the treatment. SAFIRE score using only four variables is a good prediction scoring system. However, making such prediction models needs a large number of samples and time-consuming statistical analysis. Deep learning (DL), one of the artificial intelligence, is attractive, but there were no reports on prediction models for SAH outcomes using DL. We herein made a prediction model using DL software, Prediction One (Sony Network Communications Inc., Tokyo, Japan) and compared it to SAFIRE score. METHODS: We used 153 consecutive aneurysmal SAH patients data in our hospital between 2012 and 2019. Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0–3 at 6 months was defined as a favorable outcome. We randomly divided them into 102 patients training dataset and 51 patients external validation dataset. Prediction one made the prediction model using the training dataset with internal cross-validation. We used both the created model and SAFIRE score to predict the outcomes using the external validation set. The areas under the curve (AUCs) were compared. RESULTS: The model made by Prediction One using 28 variables had AUC of 0.848, and its AUC for the validation dataset was 0.953 (95%CI 0.900–1.000). AUCs calculated using SAFIRE score were 0.875 for the training dataset and 0.960 for the validation dataset, respectively. CONCLUSION: We easily and quickly made prediction models using Prediction One, even with a small single-center dataset. The accuracy of the model was not so inferior to those of previous statistically calculated prediction models. Scientific Scholar 2020-11-06 /pmc/articles/PMC7771510/ /pubmed/33408908 http://dx.doi.org/10.25259/SNI_636_2020 Text en Copyright: © 2020 Surgical Neurology International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0 This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-Share Alike 4.0 License, which allows others to remix, tweak, and build upon the work non-commercially, as long as the author is credited and the new creations are licensed under the identical terms.
spellingShingle Original Article
Katsuki, Masahito
Kakizawa, Yukinari
Nishikawa, Akihiro
Yamamoto, Yasunaga
Uchiyama, Toshiya
Easily created prediction model using deep learning software (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc.) for subarachnoid hemorrhage outcomes from small dataset at admission
title Easily created prediction model using deep learning software (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc.) for subarachnoid hemorrhage outcomes from small dataset at admission
title_full Easily created prediction model using deep learning software (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc.) for subarachnoid hemorrhage outcomes from small dataset at admission
title_fullStr Easily created prediction model using deep learning software (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc.) for subarachnoid hemorrhage outcomes from small dataset at admission
title_full_unstemmed Easily created prediction model using deep learning software (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc.) for subarachnoid hemorrhage outcomes from small dataset at admission
title_short Easily created prediction model using deep learning software (Prediction One, Sony Network Communications Inc.) for subarachnoid hemorrhage outcomes from small dataset at admission
title_sort easily created prediction model using deep learning software (prediction one, sony network communications inc.) for subarachnoid hemorrhage outcomes from small dataset at admission
topic Original Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7771510/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33408908
http://dx.doi.org/10.25259/SNI_636_2020
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