Causal Relationship Between the Spread of the COVID-19 and Geopolitical Risks in Emerging Economies

This study investigates the causality between the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by new cases per million and new deaths per million) and geopolitical risks (measured by the index of geopolitical risks). We use the balanced panel data framework in 18 emerging economies from January 2020 t...

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Autores principales: Wang, Liangjun, Li, Chunding, Chen, Xiaohua, Zhu, Lili
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020
Materias:
Public Health
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7773836/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33392146
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2020.626055
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author Wang, Liangjun
Li, Chunding
Chen, Xiaohua
Zhu, Lili
author_facet Wang, Liangjun
Li, Chunding
Chen, Xiaohua
Zhu, Lili
author_sort Wang, Liangjun
collection PubMed
description This study investigates the causality between the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by new cases per million and new deaths per million) and geopolitical risks (measured by the index of geopolitical risks). We use the balanced panel data framework in 18 emerging economies from January 2020 to August 2020. We run the initial tests of cross-sectional dependence and the panel unit root tests with capturing cross-sectional dependence. Then, we utilize the panel Granger non-causality tests for heterogeneous stationary panel datasets. According to the findings, there is a significant causality from both measures of spreading the COVID-19 pandemic to geopolitical risks. Further tests are performed, and potential implications are also discussed.
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spelling pubmed-77738362021-01-01 Causal Relationship Between the Spread of the COVID-19 and Geopolitical Risks in Emerging Economies Wang, Liangjun Li, Chunding Chen, Xiaohua Zhu, Lili Front Public Health Public Health This study investigates the causality between the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by new cases per million and new deaths per million) and geopolitical risks (measured by the index of geopolitical risks). We use the balanced panel data framework in 18 emerging economies from January 2020 to August 2020. We run the initial tests of cross-sectional dependence and the panel unit root tests with capturing cross-sectional dependence. Then, we utilize the panel Granger non-causality tests for heterogeneous stationary panel datasets. According to the findings, there is a significant causality from both measures of spreading the COVID-19 pandemic to geopolitical risks. Further tests are performed, and potential implications are also discussed. Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-12-17 /pmc/articles/PMC7773836/ /pubmed/33392146 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2020.626055 Text en Copyright © 2020 Wang, Li, Chen and Zhu. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Public Health
Wang, Liangjun
Li, Chunding
Chen, Xiaohua
Zhu, Lili
Causal Relationship Between the Spread of the COVID-19 and Geopolitical Risks in Emerging Economies
title Causal Relationship Between the Spread of the COVID-19 and Geopolitical Risks in Emerging Economies
title_full Causal Relationship Between the Spread of the COVID-19 and Geopolitical Risks in Emerging Economies
title_fullStr Causal Relationship Between the Spread of the COVID-19 and Geopolitical Risks in Emerging Economies
title_full_unstemmed Causal Relationship Between the Spread of the COVID-19 and Geopolitical Risks in Emerging Economies
title_short Causal Relationship Between the Spread of the COVID-19 and Geopolitical Risks in Emerging Economies
title_sort causal relationship between the spread of the covid-19 and geopolitical risks in emerging economies
topic Public Health
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7773836/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33392146
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2020.626055
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AT chenxiaohua causalrelationshipbetweenthespreadofthecovid19andgeopoliticalrisksinemergingeconomies
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