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COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks

In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic many countries implemented containment measures to reduce disease transmission. Studies using digital data sources show that the mobility of individuals was effectively reduced in multiple countries. However, it remains unclear whether these reductions caused dee...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Schlosser, Frank, Maier, Benjamin F., Jack, Olivia, Hinrichs, David, Zachariae, Adrian, Brockmann, Dirk
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7776901/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33273120
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2012326117
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author Schlosser, Frank
Maier, Benjamin F.
Jack, Olivia
Hinrichs, David
Zachariae, Adrian
Brockmann, Dirk
author_facet Schlosser, Frank
Maier, Benjamin F.
Jack, Olivia
Hinrichs, David
Zachariae, Adrian
Brockmann, Dirk
author_sort Schlosser, Frank
collection PubMed
description In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic many countries implemented containment measures to reduce disease transmission. Studies using digital data sources show that the mobility of individuals was effectively reduced in multiple countries. However, it remains unclear whether these reductions caused deeper structural changes in mobility networks and how such changes may affect dynamic processes on the network. Here we use movement data of mobile phone users to show that mobility in Germany has not only been reduced considerably: Lockdown measures caused substantial and long-lasting structural changes in the mobility network. We find that long-distance travel was reduced disproportionately strongly. The trimming of long-range network connectivity leads to a more local, clustered network and a moderation of the “small-world” effect. We demonstrate that these structural changes have a considerable effect on epidemic spreading processes by “flattening” the epidemic curve and delaying the spread to geographically distant regions.
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spelling pubmed-77769012021-01-12 COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks Schlosser, Frank Maier, Benjamin F. Jack, Olivia Hinrichs, David Zachariae, Adrian Brockmann, Dirk Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Physical Sciences In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic many countries implemented containment measures to reduce disease transmission. Studies using digital data sources show that the mobility of individuals was effectively reduced in multiple countries. However, it remains unclear whether these reductions caused deeper structural changes in mobility networks and how such changes may affect dynamic processes on the network. Here we use movement data of mobile phone users to show that mobility in Germany has not only been reduced considerably: Lockdown measures caused substantial and long-lasting structural changes in the mobility network. We find that long-distance travel was reduced disproportionately strongly. The trimming of long-range network connectivity leads to a more local, clustered network and a moderation of the “small-world” effect. We demonstrate that these structural changes have a considerable effect on epidemic spreading processes by “flattening” the epidemic curve and delaying the spread to geographically distant regions. National Academy of Sciences 2020-12-29 2020-12-03 /pmc/articles/PMC7776901/ /pubmed/33273120 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2012326117 Text en Copyright © 2020 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Physical Sciences
Schlosser, Frank
Maier, Benjamin F.
Jack, Olivia
Hinrichs, David
Zachariae, Adrian
Brockmann, Dirk
COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks
title COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks
title_full COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks
title_fullStr COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks
title_short COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks
title_sort covid-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks
topic Physical Sciences
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7776901/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33273120
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2012326117
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