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COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks
In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic many countries implemented containment measures to reduce disease transmission. Studies using digital data sources show that the mobility of individuals was effectively reduced in multiple countries. However, it remains unclear whether these reductions caused dee...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7776901/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33273120 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2012326117 |
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author | Schlosser, Frank Maier, Benjamin F. Jack, Olivia Hinrichs, David Zachariae, Adrian Brockmann, Dirk |
author_facet | Schlosser, Frank Maier, Benjamin F. Jack, Olivia Hinrichs, David Zachariae, Adrian Brockmann, Dirk |
author_sort | Schlosser, Frank |
collection | PubMed |
description | In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic many countries implemented containment measures to reduce disease transmission. Studies using digital data sources show that the mobility of individuals was effectively reduced in multiple countries. However, it remains unclear whether these reductions caused deeper structural changes in mobility networks and how such changes may affect dynamic processes on the network. Here we use movement data of mobile phone users to show that mobility in Germany has not only been reduced considerably: Lockdown measures caused substantial and long-lasting structural changes in the mobility network. We find that long-distance travel was reduced disproportionately strongly. The trimming of long-range network connectivity leads to a more local, clustered network and a moderation of the “small-world” effect. We demonstrate that these structural changes have a considerable effect on epidemic spreading processes by “flattening” the epidemic curve and delaying the spread to geographically distant regions. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7776901 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-77769012021-01-12 COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks Schlosser, Frank Maier, Benjamin F. Jack, Olivia Hinrichs, David Zachariae, Adrian Brockmann, Dirk Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Physical Sciences In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic many countries implemented containment measures to reduce disease transmission. Studies using digital data sources show that the mobility of individuals was effectively reduced in multiple countries. However, it remains unclear whether these reductions caused deeper structural changes in mobility networks and how such changes may affect dynamic processes on the network. Here we use movement data of mobile phone users to show that mobility in Germany has not only been reduced considerably: Lockdown measures caused substantial and long-lasting structural changes in the mobility network. We find that long-distance travel was reduced disproportionately strongly. The trimming of long-range network connectivity leads to a more local, clustered network and a moderation of the “small-world” effect. We demonstrate that these structural changes have a considerable effect on epidemic spreading processes by “flattening” the epidemic curve and delaying the spread to geographically distant regions. National Academy of Sciences 2020-12-29 2020-12-03 /pmc/articles/PMC7776901/ /pubmed/33273120 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2012326117 Text en Copyright © 2020 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Physical Sciences Schlosser, Frank Maier, Benjamin F. Jack, Olivia Hinrichs, David Zachariae, Adrian Brockmann, Dirk COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks |
title | COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks |
title_full | COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks |
title_fullStr | COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks |
title_full_unstemmed | COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks |
title_short | COVID-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks |
title_sort | covid-19 lockdown induces disease-mitigating structural changes in mobility networks |
topic | Physical Sciences |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7776901/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33273120 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2012326117 |
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