Maximal Exercise Testing Using the Incremental Shuttle Walking Test Can Be Used to Risk-Stratify Patients with Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

Rationale: Exercise capacity predicts mortality in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), but limited data exist on the routine use of maximal exercise testing. Objectives: This study evaluates a simple-to-perform maximal test (the incremental shuttle walking test) and its use in risk stratification in PAH. Methods: Consecutive patients with pulmonary hypertension were identified from the ASPIRE (Assessing the Spectrum of Pulmonary hypertension Identified at a REferral centre) registry (2001–2018). Thresholds for levels of risk were identified at baseline and tested at follow-up, and their incorporation into current risk stratification approaches was assessed. Results: Of 4,524 treatment-naive patients with pulmonary hypertension who underwent maximal exercise testing, 1,847 patients had PAH. A stepwise reduction in 1-year mortality was seen between levels 1 (≤30 m; 32% mortality) and 7 (340–420 m; 1% mortality) with no mortality for levels 8–12 (≥430 m) in idiopathic and connective tissue disease–related PAH. Thresholds derived at baseline of ≤180 m (>10%; high risk), 190–330 m (5–10%; intermediate risk), and ≥340 m (<5%; low risk of 1-yr mortality) were applied at follow-up and also accurately identified levels of risk. Thresholds were incorporated into the REVEAL (Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-Term Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Disease Management) 2.0 risk score calculator and French low-risk approach to risk stratification, and distinct categories of risk remained. Conclusions: We have demonstrated that maximal exercise testing in PAH stratifies mortality risk at baseline and follow-up. This study highlights the potential value of the incremental shuttle walking test as an alternative to the 6-minute walking test, combining some of the advantages of maximal exercise testing and maintaining the simplicity of a simple-to-perform field test.