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Dengue fever transmission between a construction site and its surrounding communities in China
BACKGROUND: Due to an increase in mosquito habitats and the lack facilities to carry out basic mosquito control, construction sites in China are more likely to experience secondary dengue fever infection after importation of an initial infection, which may then increase the number of infections in t...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
BioMed Central
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7787407/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33407778 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13071-020-04463-x |
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author | Liu, Xingchun Zhang, Meng Cheng, Qu Zhang, Yingtao Ye, Guoqiang Huang, Xiqing Zhao, Zeyu Rui, Jia Hu, Qingqing Frutos, Roger Chen, Tianmu Song, Tie Kang, Min |
author_facet | Liu, Xingchun Zhang, Meng Cheng, Qu Zhang, Yingtao Ye, Guoqiang Huang, Xiqing Zhao, Zeyu Rui, Jia Hu, Qingqing Frutos, Roger Chen, Tianmu Song, Tie Kang, Min |
author_sort | Liu, Xingchun |
collection | PubMed |
description | BACKGROUND: Due to an increase in mosquito habitats and the lack facilities to carry out basic mosquito control, construction sites in China are more likely to experience secondary dengue fever infection after importation of an initial infection, which may then increase the number of infections in the neighboring communities and the chance of community transmission. The aim of this study was to investigate how to effectively reduce the transmission of dengue fever at construction sites and the neighboring communities. METHODS: The Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious/Asymptomatic-Recovered (SEIAR) model of human and SEI model of mosquitoes were developed to estimate the transmission of dengue virus between humans and mosquitoes within the construction site and within a neighboring community, as well between each of these. With the calibrated model, we further estimated the effectiveness of different intervention scenarios targeting at reducing the transmissibility at different locations (i.e. construction sites and community) with the total attack rate (TAR) and the duration of the outbreak (DO). RESULTS: A total of 102 construction site-related and 131 community-related cases of dengue fever were reported in our area of study. Without intervention, the number of cases related to the construction site and the community rose to 156 (TAR: 31.25%) and 10,796 (TAR: 21.59%), respectively. When the transmission route from mosquitoes to humans in the community was cut off, the number of community cases decreased to a minimum of 33 compared with other simulated scenarios (TAR: 0.068%, DO: 60 days). If the transmission route from infectious mosquitoes in the community and that from the construction site to susceptible people on the site were cut off at the same time, the number of cases on the construction site dropped to a minimum of 74 (TAR: 14.88%, DO: 66 days). CONCLUSIONS: To control the outbreak of dengue fever effectively on both the construction site and in the community, interventions needed to be made both within the community and from the community to the construction site. If interventions only took place within the construction site, the number of cases on the construction site would not be reduced. Also, interventions implemented only within the construction site or between the construction site and the community would not lead to a reduction in the number of cases in the community. [Image: see text] |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7787407 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | BioMed Central |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-77874072021-01-07 Dengue fever transmission between a construction site and its surrounding communities in China Liu, Xingchun Zhang, Meng Cheng, Qu Zhang, Yingtao Ye, Guoqiang Huang, Xiqing Zhao, Zeyu Rui, Jia Hu, Qingqing Frutos, Roger Chen, Tianmu Song, Tie Kang, Min Parasit Vectors Research BACKGROUND: Due to an increase in mosquito habitats and the lack facilities to carry out basic mosquito control, construction sites in China are more likely to experience secondary dengue fever infection after importation of an initial infection, which may then increase the number of infections in the neighboring communities and the chance of community transmission. The aim of this study was to investigate how to effectively reduce the transmission of dengue fever at construction sites and the neighboring communities. METHODS: The Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious/Asymptomatic-Recovered (SEIAR) model of human and SEI model of mosquitoes were developed to estimate the transmission of dengue virus between humans and mosquitoes within the construction site and within a neighboring community, as well between each of these. With the calibrated model, we further estimated the effectiveness of different intervention scenarios targeting at reducing the transmissibility at different locations (i.e. construction sites and community) with the total attack rate (TAR) and the duration of the outbreak (DO). RESULTS: A total of 102 construction site-related and 131 community-related cases of dengue fever were reported in our area of study. Without intervention, the number of cases related to the construction site and the community rose to 156 (TAR: 31.25%) and 10,796 (TAR: 21.59%), respectively. When the transmission route from mosquitoes to humans in the community was cut off, the number of community cases decreased to a minimum of 33 compared with other simulated scenarios (TAR: 0.068%, DO: 60 days). If the transmission route from infectious mosquitoes in the community and that from the construction site to susceptible people on the site were cut off at the same time, the number of cases on the construction site dropped to a minimum of 74 (TAR: 14.88%, DO: 66 days). CONCLUSIONS: To control the outbreak of dengue fever effectively on both the construction site and in the community, interventions needed to be made both within the community and from the community to the construction site. If interventions only took place within the construction site, the number of cases on the construction site would not be reduced. Also, interventions implemented only within the construction site or between the construction site and the community would not lead to a reduction in the number of cases in the community. [Image: see text] BioMed Central 2021-01-06 /pmc/articles/PMC7787407/ /pubmed/33407778 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13071-020-04463-x Text en © The Author(s) 2020 Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data. |
spellingShingle | Research Liu, Xingchun Zhang, Meng Cheng, Qu Zhang, Yingtao Ye, Guoqiang Huang, Xiqing Zhao, Zeyu Rui, Jia Hu, Qingqing Frutos, Roger Chen, Tianmu Song, Tie Kang, Min Dengue fever transmission between a construction site and its surrounding communities in China |
title | Dengue fever transmission between a construction site and its surrounding communities in China |
title_full | Dengue fever transmission between a construction site and its surrounding communities in China |
title_fullStr | Dengue fever transmission between a construction site and its surrounding communities in China |
title_full_unstemmed | Dengue fever transmission between a construction site and its surrounding communities in China |
title_short | Dengue fever transmission between a construction site and its surrounding communities in China |
title_sort | dengue fever transmission between a construction site and its surrounding communities in china |
topic | Research |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7787407/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33407778 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13071-020-04463-x |
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