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Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels

Decades of research on collective decision making has claimed that aggregated judgment of multiple individuals is more accurate than expert individual judgement. A longstanding problem in this regard has been to determine how decisions of individuals can be combined to form intelligent group decisio...

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Autores principales: Saha Roy, Tiasha, Mazumder, Satyaki, Das, Koel
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7804123/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33436921
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-80500-0
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author Saha Roy, Tiasha
Mazumder, Satyaki
Das, Koel
author_facet Saha Roy, Tiasha
Mazumder, Satyaki
Das, Koel
author_sort Saha Roy, Tiasha
collection PubMed
description Decades of research on collective decision making has claimed that aggregated judgment of multiple individuals is more accurate than expert individual judgement. A longstanding problem in this regard has been to determine how decisions of individuals can be combined to form intelligent group decisions. Our study consisted of a random target detection task in natural scenes, where human subjects (18 subjects, 7 female) detected the presence or absence of a random target as indicated by the cue word displayed prior to stimulus display. Concurrently the neural activities (EEG signals) were recorded. A separate behavioural experiment was performed by different subjects (20 subjects, 11 female) on the same set of images to categorize the tasks according to their difficulty levels. We demonstrate that the weighted average of individual decision confidence/neural decision variables produces significantly better performance than the frequently used majority pooling algorithm. Further, the classification error rates from individual judgement were found to increase with increasing task difficulty. This error could be significantly reduced upon combining the individual decisions using group aggregation rules. Using statistical tests, we show that combining all available participants is unnecessary to achieve minimum classification error rate. We also try to explore if group aggregation benefits depend on the correlation between the individual judgements of the group and our results seem to suggest that reduced inter-subject correlation can improve collective decision making for a fixed difficulty level.
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spelling pubmed-78041232021-01-13 Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels Saha Roy, Tiasha Mazumder, Satyaki Das, Koel Sci Rep Article Decades of research on collective decision making has claimed that aggregated judgment of multiple individuals is more accurate than expert individual judgement. A longstanding problem in this regard has been to determine how decisions of individuals can be combined to form intelligent group decisions. Our study consisted of a random target detection task in natural scenes, where human subjects (18 subjects, 7 female) detected the presence or absence of a random target as indicated by the cue word displayed prior to stimulus display. Concurrently the neural activities (EEG signals) were recorded. A separate behavioural experiment was performed by different subjects (20 subjects, 11 female) on the same set of images to categorize the tasks according to their difficulty levels. We demonstrate that the weighted average of individual decision confidence/neural decision variables produces significantly better performance than the frequently used majority pooling algorithm. Further, the classification error rates from individual judgement were found to increase with increasing task difficulty. This error could be significantly reduced upon combining the individual decisions using group aggregation rules. Using statistical tests, we show that combining all available participants is unnecessary to achieve minimum classification error rate. We also try to explore if group aggregation benefits depend on the correlation between the individual judgements of the group and our results seem to suggest that reduced inter-subject correlation can improve collective decision making for a fixed difficulty level. Nature Publishing Group UK 2021-01-12 /pmc/articles/PMC7804123/ /pubmed/33436921 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-80500-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2021 Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Saha Roy, Tiasha
Mazumder, Satyaki
Das, Koel
Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
title Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
title_full Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
title_fullStr Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
title_full_unstemmed Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
title_short Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
title_sort wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7804123/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33436921
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-80500-0
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