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Tracking [Image: see text] of COVID-19: A new real-time estimation using the Kalman filter

We develop a new method for estimating the effective reproduction number of an infectious disease ([Image: see text] ) and apply it to track the dynamics of COVID-19. The method is based on the fact that in the SIR model, [Image: see text] is linearly related to the growth rate of the number of infe...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Arroyo-Marioli, Francisco, Bullano, Francisco, Kucinskas, Simas, Rondón-Moreno, Carlos
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7806155/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33439880
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0244474