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Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks with Financial Incentives

In this paper, we consider controlling coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreaks with financial incentives. We use the recently developed susceptible-unidentified infected-confirmed (SUC) epidemic model. The unidentified infected population is defined as the infected people who are not yet ident...

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Autores principales: Lee, Chaeyoung, Kwak, Soobin, Kim, Junseok
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7830108/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33467714
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18020724
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author Lee, Chaeyoung
Kwak, Soobin
Kim, Junseok
author_facet Lee, Chaeyoung
Kwak, Soobin
Kim, Junseok
author_sort Lee, Chaeyoung
collection PubMed
description In this paper, we consider controlling coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreaks with financial incentives. We use the recently developed susceptible-unidentified infected-confirmed (SUC) epidemic model. The unidentified infected population is defined as the infected people who are not yet identified and isolated and can spread the disease to susceptible individuals. It is important to quickly identify and isolate infected people among the unidentified infected population to prevent the infectious disease from spreading. Considering financial incentives as a strategy to control the spread of disease, we predict the effect of the strategy through a mathematical model. Although incentive costs are required, the duration of the disease can be shortened. First, we estimate the unidentified infected cases of COVID-19 in South Korea using the SUC model, and compute two parameters such as the disease transmission rate and the inverse of the average time for confirming infected individuals. We assume that when financial incentives are provided, there are changes in the proportion of confirmed patients out of unidentified infected people in the SUC model. We evaluate the numbers of confirmed and unidentified infected cases with respect to one parameter while fixing the other estimated parameters. We investigate the effect of the incentives on the termination time of the spread of the disease. The larger the incentive budget is, the faster the epidemic will end. Therefore, financial incentives can have the advantage of reducing the total cost required to prevent the spread of the disease, treat confirmed patients, and recover overall economic losses.
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spelling pubmed-78301082021-01-26 Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks with Financial Incentives Lee, Chaeyoung Kwak, Soobin Kim, Junseok Int J Environ Res Public Health Article In this paper, we consider controlling coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreaks with financial incentives. We use the recently developed susceptible-unidentified infected-confirmed (SUC) epidemic model. The unidentified infected population is defined as the infected people who are not yet identified and isolated and can spread the disease to susceptible individuals. It is important to quickly identify and isolate infected people among the unidentified infected population to prevent the infectious disease from spreading. Considering financial incentives as a strategy to control the spread of disease, we predict the effect of the strategy through a mathematical model. Although incentive costs are required, the duration of the disease can be shortened. First, we estimate the unidentified infected cases of COVID-19 in South Korea using the SUC model, and compute two parameters such as the disease transmission rate and the inverse of the average time for confirming infected individuals. We assume that when financial incentives are provided, there are changes in the proportion of confirmed patients out of unidentified infected people in the SUC model. We evaluate the numbers of confirmed and unidentified infected cases with respect to one parameter while fixing the other estimated parameters. We investigate the effect of the incentives on the termination time of the spread of the disease. The larger the incentive budget is, the faster the epidemic will end. Therefore, financial incentives can have the advantage of reducing the total cost required to prevent the spread of the disease, treat confirmed patients, and recover overall economic losses. MDPI 2021-01-15 2021-01 /pmc/articles/PMC7830108/ /pubmed/33467714 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18020724 Text en © 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Lee, Chaeyoung
Kwak, Soobin
Kim, Junseok
Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks with Financial Incentives
title Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks with Financial Incentives
title_full Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks with Financial Incentives
title_fullStr Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks with Financial Incentives
title_full_unstemmed Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks with Financial Incentives
title_short Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks with Financial Incentives
title_sort controlling covid-19 outbreaks with financial incentives
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7830108/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33467714
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18020724
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