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Effects of meteorological conditions and air pollution on COVID-19 transmission: Evidence from 219 Chinese cities
The spatial distribution of the COVID-19 infection in China cannot be explained solely by geographical distance and regulatory stringency. In this research we investigate how meteorological conditions and air pollution, as concurring factors, impact COVID-19 transmission, using data on new confirmed...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier B.V.
2020
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7832158/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32592975 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140244 |
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author | Zhang, Zhenbo Xue, Ting Jin, Xiaoyu |
author_facet | Zhang, Zhenbo Xue, Ting Jin, Xiaoyu |
author_sort | Zhang, Zhenbo |
collection | PubMed |
description | The spatial distribution of the COVID-19 infection in China cannot be explained solely by geographical distance and regulatory stringency. In this research we investigate how meteorological conditions and air pollution, as concurring factors, impact COVID-19 transmission, using data on new confirmed cases from 219 prefecture cities from January 24 to February 29, 2020. Results revealed a kind of nonlinear dose-response relationship between temperature and coronavirus transmission. We also found that air pollution indicators are positively correlated with new confirmed cases, and the coronavirus further spreads by 5–7% as the AQI increases by 10 units. Further analysis based on regional divisions revealed that in northern China the negative effects of rising temperature on COVID-19 is counteracted by aggravated air pollution. In the southern cities, the ambient temperature and air pollution have a negative interactive effect on COVID-19 transmission, implying that rising temperature restrains the facilitating effects of air pollution and that they jointly lead to a decrease in new confirmed cases. These results provide implications for the control and prevention of this disease and for the anticipation of another possible pandemic. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7832158 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | Elsevier B.V. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-78321582021-01-26 Effects of meteorological conditions and air pollution on COVID-19 transmission: Evidence from 219 Chinese cities Zhang, Zhenbo Xue, Ting Jin, Xiaoyu Sci Total Environ Article The spatial distribution of the COVID-19 infection in China cannot be explained solely by geographical distance and regulatory stringency. In this research we investigate how meteorological conditions and air pollution, as concurring factors, impact COVID-19 transmission, using data on new confirmed cases from 219 prefecture cities from January 24 to February 29, 2020. Results revealed a kind of nonlinear dose-response relationship between temperature and coronavirus transmission. We also found that air pollution indicators are positively correlated with new confirmed cases, and the coronavirus further spreads by 5–7% as the AQI increases by 10 units. Further analysis based on regional divisions revealed that in northern China the negative effects of rising temperature on COVID-19 is counteracted by aggravated air pollution. In the southern cities, the ambient temperature and air pollution have a negative interactive effect on COVID-19 transmission, implying that rising temperature restrains the facilitating effects of air pollution and that they jointly lead to a decrease in new confirmed cases. These results provide implications for the control and prevention of this disease and for the anticipation of another possible pandemic. Elsevier B.V. 2020-11-01 2020-06-15 /pmc/articles/PMC7832158/ /pubmed/32592975 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140244 Text en © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Zhang, Zhenbo Xue, Ting Jin, Xiaoyu Effects of meteorological conditions and air pollution on COVID-19 transmission: Evidence from 219 Chinese cities |
title | Effects of meteorological conditions and air pollution on COVID-19 transmission: Evidence from 219 Chinese cities |
title_full | Effects of meteorological conditions and air pollution on COVID-19 transmission: Evidence from 219 Chinese cities |
title_fullStr | Effects of meteorological conditions and air pollution on COVID-19 transmission: Evidence from 219 Chinese cities |
title_full_unstemmed | Effects of meteorological conditions and air pollution on COVID-19 transmission: Evidence from 219 Chinese cities |
title_short | Effects of meteorological conditions and air pollution on COVID-19 transmission: Evidence from 219 Chinese cities |
title_sort | effects of meteorological conditions and air pollution on covid-19 transmission: evidence from 219 chinese cities |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7832158/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32592975 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140244 |
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