Prognostic factors for pyrrolizidine alkaloid-induced hepatic sinusoidal obstruction syndrome: a multicenter study in China

BACKGROUND: In China, one of the major causes of hepatic sinusoidal obstruction syndrome (HSOS) is the intake of herbals containing pyrrolizidine alkaloid (PA). However, prognostic factors for PA-induced HSOS are poorly understood. The aim of this study was to identify the independent prognostic factors for PA-induced HSOS using a multi-center study. METHODS: A total of 117 PA-induced HSOS patients were enrolled for data collection in three university hospitals from November 2003 to September 2018. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis were used to determine prognostic factors for PA-induced HSOS. RESULTS: The median age of the PA-induced HSOS patients was 61 years (range, 21–88 years), and 64% of them were male. The survival rates at 1, 3, and 36 months were 89.71%, 72.60%, and 69.19%, respectively. Significant differences in prothrombin time (PT), international normalized ratio, total bilirubin, severity grading [new criteria for severity grading of hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT)-related HSOS in adults] were found between patients who survived and those who died. Univariate and multivariate survival analysis using Cox’s regression model demonstrated low serum albumin (<35 g/L), elevated serum urea (>8.2 mmol/L) and severe or very severe HSOS (European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation 2016 criteria) were independent prognostic factors of survival. CONCLUSIONS: Serum albumin, serum urea, and severity grading were independent prognostic factors for patients with PA-induced HSOS, and can contribute to identifying potentially high-risk patients for early effective intervention. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ChiCTR-DRD-17010709 (www.chictr.org.cn).