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Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates
A complex SIR epidemic dynamical model using nonlinear incidence rate and nonlinear recovery rate is established to consider the impact of available hospital beds and interventions reduction on the spread of infectious disease. Rigorous mathematical results have been established for the model from t...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University.
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7864615/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2021.01.023 |
Sumario: | A complex SIR epidemic dynamical model using nonlinear incidence rate and nonlinear recovery rate is established to consider the impact of available hospital beds and interventions reduction on the spread of infectious disease. Rigorous mathematical results have been established for the model from the point of view of stability and bifurcation. The model has two equilibrium points when the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text]; a disease-free equilibrium [Formula: see text] and a disease endemic equilibrium [Formula: see text]. We use LaSalle’s invariance principle and Lyapunov’s direct method to prove that [Formula: see text] is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] , and [Formula: see text] is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] , under some conditions on the model parameters. The existence and nonexistence of limit cycles are investigated under certain conditions on model parameters. The model exhibits Hopf bifurcation near the disease endemic equilibrium. We further show the occurring of backward bifurcation for the model when there is limited number of hospital beds. Finally, some numerical results are represented to validate the analytical results. |
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