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Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates
A complex SIR epidemic dynamical model using nonlinear incidence rate and nonlinear recovery rate is established to consider the impact of available hospital beds and interventions reduction on the spread of infectious disease. Rigorous mathematical results have been established for the model from t...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University.
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7864615/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2021.01.023 |
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author | Alshammari, Fehaid Salem Khan, Muhammad Altaf |
author_facet | Alshammari, Fehaid Salem Khan, Muhammad Altaf |
author_sort | Alshammari, Fehaid Salem |
collection | PubMed |
description | A complex SIR epidemic dynamical model using nonlinear incidence rate and nonlinear recovery rate is established to consider the impact of available hospital beds and interventions reduction on the spread of infectious disease. Rigorous mathematical results have been established for the model from the point of view of stability and bifurcation. The model has two equilibrium points when the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text]; a disease-free equilibrium [Formula: see text] and a disease endemic equilibrium [Formula: see text]. We use LaSalle’s invariance principle and Lyapunov’s direct method to prove that [Formula: see text] is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] , and [Formula: see text] is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] , under some conditions on the model parameters. The existence and nonexistence of limit cycles are investigated under certain conditions on model parameters. The model exhibits Hopf bifurcation near the disease endemic equilibrium. We further show the occurring of backward bifurcation for the model when there is limited number of hospital beds. Finally, some numerical results are represented to validate the analytical results. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7864615 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-78646152021-02-09 Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates Alshammari, Fehaid Salem Khan, Muhammad Altaf Alexandria Engineering Journal Article A complex SIR epidemic dynamical model using nonlinear incidence rate and nonlinear recovery rate is established to consider the impact of available hospital beds and interventions reduction on the spread of infectious disease. Rigorous mathematical results have been established for the model from the point of view of stability and bifurcation. The model has two equilibrium points when the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text]; a disease-free equilibrium [Formula: see text] and a disease endemic equilibrium [Formula: see text]. We use LaSalle’s invariance principle and Lyapunov’s direct method to prove that [Formula: see text] is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] , and [Formula: see text] is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] , under some conditions on the model parameters. The existence and nonexistence of limit cycles are investigated under certain conditions on model parameters. The model exhibits Hopf bifurcation near the disease endemic equilibrium. We further show the occurring of backward bifurcation for the model when there is limited number of hospital beds. Finally, some numerical results are represented to validate the analytical results. THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University. 2021-06 2021-02-05 /pmc/articles/PMC7864615/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2021.01.023 Text en © 2021 THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Alshammari, Fehaid Salem Khan, Muhammad Altaf Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates |
title | Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates |
title_full | Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates |
title_fullStr | Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates |
title_full_unstemmed | Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates |
title_short | Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates |
title_sort | dynamic behaviors of a modified sir model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7864615/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2021.01.023 |
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