Cargando…

Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates

A complex SIR epidemic dynamical model using nonlinear incidence rate and nonlinear recovery rate is established to consider the impact of available hospital beds and interventions reduction on the spread of infectious disease. Rigorous mathematical results have been established for the model from t...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Alshammari, Fehaid Salem, Khan, Muhammad Altaf
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7864615/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2021.01.023
_version_ 1783647691118477312
author Alshammari, Fehaid Salem
Khan, Muhammad Altaf
author_facet Alshammari, Fehaid Salem
Khan, Muhammad Altaf
author_sort Alshammari, Fehaid Salem
collection PubMed
description A complex SIR epidemic dynamical model using nonlinear incidence rate and nonlinear recovery rate is established to consider the impact of available hospital beds and interventions reduction on the spread of infectious disease. Rigorous mathematical results have been established for the model from the point of view of stability and bifurcation. The model has two equilibrium points when the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text]; a disease-free equilibrium [Formula: see text] and a disease endemic equilibrium [Formula: see text]. We use LaSalle’s invariance principle and Lyapunov’s direct method to prove that [Formula: see text] is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] , and [Formula: see text] is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] , under some conditions on the model parameters. The existence and nonexistence of limit cycles are investigated under certain conditions on model parameters. The model exhibits Hopf bifurcation near the disease endemic equilibrium. We further show the occurring of backward bifurcation for the model when there is limited number of hospital beds. Finally, some numerical results are represented to validate the analytical results.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7864615
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2021
publisher THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University.
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-78646152021-02-09 Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates Alshammari, Fehaid Salem Khan, Muhammad Altaf Alexandria Engineering Journal Article A complex SIR epidemic dynamical model using nonlinear incidence rate and nonlinear recovery rate is established to consider the impact of available hospital beds and interventions reduction on the spread of infectious disease. Rigorous mathematical results have been established for the model from the point of view of stability and bifurcation. The model has two equilibrium points when the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text]; a disease-free equilibrium [Formula: see text] and a disease endemic equilibrium [Formula: see text]. We use LaSalle’s invariance principle and Lyapunov’s direct method to prove that [Formula: see text] is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] , and [Formula: see text] is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] , under some conditions on the model parameters. The existence and nonexistence of limit cycles are investigated under certain conditions on model parameters. The model exhibits Hopf bifurcation near the disease endemic equilibrium. We further show the occurring of backward bifurcation for the model when there is limited number of hospital beds. Finally, some numerical results are represented to validate the analytical results. THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University. 2021-06 2021-02-05 /pmc/articles/PMC7864615/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2021.01.023 Text en © 2021 THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Alshammari, Fehaid Salem
Khan, Muhammad Altaf
Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates
title Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates
title_full Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates
title_fullStr Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates
title_short Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates
title_sort dynamic behaviors of a modified sir model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7864615/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2021.01.023
work_keys_str_mv AT alshammarifehaidsalem dynamicbehaviorsofamodifiedsirmodelwithnonlinearincidenceandrecoveryrates
AT khanmuhammadaltaf dynamicbehaviorsofamodifiedsirmodelwithnonlinearincidenceandrecoveryrates