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Construction and validation a nomogram to predict overall survival for colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma
To construct and validate a nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) of colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma (SRCC). The potentially eligible cases were obtained against the SEER database from 2004 to 2015. Log-rank test and Cox analysis were conducted to identify the independent prognostic fa...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7873243/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33564088 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-82978-8 |
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author | Diao, Jian-dong Ma, Li-xia Wu, Chun-jiao Liu, Xian-hong Su, Xiao-yun Bi, Hong-yu Bao, Bo Yan, Hao-wei Shi, Lei Yang, Yong-jing |
author_facet | Diao, Jian-dong Ma, Li-xia Wu, Chun-jiao Liu, Xian-hong Su, Xiao-yun Bi, Hong-yu Bao, Bo Yan, Hao-wei Shi, Lei Yang, Yong-jing |
author_sort | Diao, Jian-dong |
collection | PubMed |
description | To construct and validate a nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) of colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma (SRCC). The potentially eligible cases were obtained against the SEER database from 2004 to 2015. Log-rank test and Cox analysis were conducted to identify the independent prognostic factors for predicting OS. The identified prognostic factors were later integrated for the construction of an OS prediction nomogram. Altogether 2904 eligible cases were identified, and the median survival time was 18 (range: 0–155) months. As suggested by multivariate analysis, age, primary site, grade, tumor size, T stage, N stage, M stage, surgery, lymph node dissection and chemotherapy were identified as the independent factors for predicting OS. Afterwards, the above variables were incorporated into the nomogram. The C-index indicated better discriminatory ability of the nomogram than AJCC 8th TNM staging and SEER summary stage systems (both P < 0.001). Calibration plots further showed good consistency between the nomogram prediction and actual observation. The time independent area under the curves (tAUCs) for 3-year and 5-year OS in nomogram were larger than AJCC and SEER summary stage system. The constructed nomogram could potentially predict the survival of colorectal SRCC individuals. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7873243 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-78732432021-02-11 Construction and validation a nomogram to predict overall survival for colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma Diao, Jian-dong Ma, Li-xia Wu, Chun-jiao Liu, Xian-hong Su, Xiao-yun Bi, Hong-yu Bao, Bo Yan, Hao-wei Shi, Lei Yang, Yong-jing Sci Rep Article To construct and validate a nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) of colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma (SRCC). The potentially eligible cases were obtained against the SEER database from 2004 to 2015. Log-rank test and Cox analysis were conducted to identify the independent prognostic factors for predicting OS. The identified prognostic factors were later integrated for the construction of an OS prediction nomogram. Altogether 2904 eligible cases were identified, and the median survival time was 18 (range: 0–155) months. As suggested by multivariate analysis, age, primary site, grade, tumor size, T stage, N stage, M stage, surgery, lymph node dissection and chemotherapy were identified as the independent factors for predicting OS. Afterwards, the above variables were incorporated into the nomogram. The C-index indicated better discriminatory ability of the nomogram than AJCC 8th TNM staging and SEER summary stage systems (both P < 0.001). Calibration plots further showed good consistency between the nomogram prediction and actual observation. The time independent area under the curves (tAUCs) for 3-year and 5-year OS in nomogram were larger than AJCC and SEER summary stage system. The constructed nomogram could potentially predict the survival of colorectal SRCC individuals. Nature Publishing Group UK 2021-02-09 /pmc/articles/PMC7873243/ /pubmed/33564088 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-82978-8 Text en © The Author(s) 2021 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. |
spellingShingle | Article Diao, Jian-dong Ma, Li-xia Wu, Chun-jiao Liu, Xian-hong Su, Xiao-yun Bi, Hong-yu Bao, Bo Yan, Hao-wei Shi, Lei Yang, Yong-jing Construction and validation a nomogram to predict overall survival for colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma |
title | Construction and validation a nomogram to predict overall survival for colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma |
title_full | Construction and validation a nomogram to predict overall survival for colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma |
title_fullStr | Construction and validation a nomogram to predict overall survival for colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma |
title_full_unstemmed | Construction and validation a nomogram to predict overall survival for colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma |
title_short | Construction and validation a nomogram to predict overall survival for colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma |
title_sort | construction and validation a nomogram to predict overall survival for colorectal signet ring cell carcinoma |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7873243/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33564088 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-82978-8 |
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