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Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate

In this article, we study the dynamics of a new proposed age-structured population mathematical model driven by a seasonal forcing function that takes into account the variability of the climate. We introduce a generalized force of infection function to study different potential disease outcomes. Us...

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Autores principales: Arenas, Abraham J., González-Parra, Gilberto, De La Espriella, Nicolás
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7877536/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40314-021-01430-9
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author Arenas, Abraham J.
González-Parra, Gilberto
De La Espriella, Nicolás
author_facet Arenas, Abraham J.
González-Parra, Gilberto
De La Espriella, Nicolás
author_sort Arenas, Abraham J.
collection PubMed
description In this article, we study the dynamics of a new proposed age-structured population mathematical model driven by a seasonal forcing function that takes into account the variability of the climate. We introduce a generalized force of infection function to study different potential disease outcomes. Using nonlinear analysis tools and differential inequalities theorems, we obtain sufficient conditions that guarantee the existence of a positive periodic solution. Moreover, we provide sufficient conditions that assure the global attractivity of the positive periodic solution. Numerical results corroborate the theoretical results in the sense that the solutions are positive and the periodic solution is a global attractor. This type of models are important, since they take into account the variability of the weather and the impact on some epidemics such as the current COVID-19 pandemic.
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spelling pubmed-78775362021-02-16 Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate Arenas, Abraham J. González-Parra, Gilberto De La Espriella, Nicolás Comp. Appl. Math. Article In this article, we study the dynamics of a new proposed age-structured population mathematical model driven by a seasonal forcing function that takes into account the variability of the climate. We introduce a generalized force of infection function to study different potential disease outcomes. Using nonlinear analysis tools and differential inequalities theorems, we obtain sufficient conditions that guarantee the existence of a positive periodic solution. Moreover, we provide sufficient conditions that assure the global attractivity of the positive periodic solution. Numerical results corroborate the theoretical results in the sense that the solutions are positive and the periodic solution is a global attractor. This type of models are important, since they take into account the variability of the weather and the impact on some epidemics such as the current COVID-19 pandemic. Springer International Publishing 2021-02-11 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC7877536/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40314-021-01430-9 Text en © SBMAC - Sociedade Brasileira de Matemática Aplicada e Computacional 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Arenas, Abraham J.
González-Parra, Gilberto
De La Espriella, Nicolás
Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate
title Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate
title_full Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate
title_fullStr Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate
title_full_unstemmed Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate
title_short Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate
title_sort nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7877536/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40314-021-01430-9
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