Cargando…
Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate
In this article, we study the dynamics of a new proposed age-structured population mathematical model driven by a seasonal forcing function that takes into account the variability of the climate. We introduce a generalized force of infection function to study different potential disease outcomes. Us...
Autores principales: | , , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer International Publishing
2021
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7877536/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40314-021-01430-9 |
_version_ | 1783650188626231296 |
---|---|
author | Arenas, Abraham J. González-Parra, Gilberto De La Espriella, Nicolás |
author_facet | Arenas, Abraham J. González-Parra, Gilberto De La Espriella, Nicolás |
author_sort | Arenas, Abraham J. |
collection | PubMed |
description | In this article, we study the dynamics of a new proposed age-structured population mathematical model driven by a seasonal forcing function that takes into account the variability of the climate. We introduce a generalized force of infection function to study different potential disease outcomes. Using nonlinear analysis tools and differential inequalities theorems, we obtain sufficient conditions that guarantee the existence of a positive periodic solution. Moreover, we provide sufficient conditions that assure the global attractivity of the positive periodic solution. Numerical results corroborate the theoretical results in the sense that the solutions are positive and the periodic solution is a global attractor. This type of models are important, since they take into account the variability of the weather and the impact on some epidemics such as the current COVID-19 pandemic. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7877536 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Springer International Publishing |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-78775362021-02-16 Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate Arenas, Abraham J. González-Parra, Gilberto De La Espriella, Nicolás Comp. Appl. Math. Article In this article, we study the dynamics of a new proposed age-structured population mathematical model driven by a seasonal forcing function that takes into account the variability of the climate. We introduce a generalized force of infection function to study different potential disease outcomes. Using nonlinear analysis tools and differential inequalities theorems, we obtain sufficient conditions that guarantee the existence of a positive periodic solution. Moreover, we provide sufficient conditions that assure the global attractivity of the positive periodic solution. Numerical results corroborate the theoretical results in the sense that the solutions are positive and the periodic solution is a global attractor. This type of models are important, since they take into account the variability of the weather and the impact on some epidemics such as the current COVID-19 pandemic. Springer International Publishing 2021-02-11 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC7877536/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40314-021-01430-9 Text en © SBMAC - Sociedade Brasileira de Matemática Aplicada e Computacional 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Article Arenas, Abraham J. González-Parra, Gilberto De La Espriella, Nicolás Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate |
title | Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate |
title_full | Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate |
title_fullStr | Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate |
title_full_unstemmed | Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate |
title_short | Nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate |
title_sort | nonlinear dynamics of a new seasonal epidemiological model with age-structure and nonlinear incidence rate |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7877536/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40314-021-01430-9 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT arenasabrahamj nonlineardynamicsofanewseasonalepidemiologicalmodelwithagestructureandnonlinearincidencerate AT gonzalezparragilberto nonlineardynamicsofanewseasonalepidemiologicalmodelwithagestructureandnonlinearincidencerate AT delaespriellanicolas nonlineardynamicsofanewseasonalepidemiologicalmodelwithagestructureandnonlinearincidencerate |