Evaluation of the Oxford classification in immunoglobulin A vasculitis with nephritis: a cohort study and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND: Similarities in clinicopathological presentations in immunoglobulin A (IgA) nephropathy and IgA vasculitis with nephritis (IgAVN) raise the question of the utility of the Oxford classification in the latter. The aim of this study was to evaluate the Oxford classification in IgAVN. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study and meta-analysis following systematic searching of the MEDLINE and Excerpta Medica Database (EMBASE) databases between January 2009 and September 2019. We modeled the association of 30 and 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate or end-stage renal disease with pathologic lesions of the Oxford classification including mesangial hypercellularity (M), endocapillary hypercellularity (E), segmental glomerulosclerosis (S), interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (T) and crescents (C). Results were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: The cohort study included 132 patients, and only T lesion was an independently risk factor in IgAVN. The meta-analysis yielded six retrospective studies with 721 patients and 139 endpoints. In multivariate model, T lesion was significantly associated with renal outcome (hazard ratio = 2.45, P = 0.007). M and C lesions could not predict renal outcome without evidence of heterogeneity. E and S lesions could not predict renal outcome with evidence of heterogeneity (I(2) = 66.6%; P = 0.01, and I(2) = 65.8%; P = 0.03, respectively). Subgroup analysis showed that the possible reasons to the heterogeneity were from usage of immunosuppressant, sample size and follow-up time. CONCLUSIONS: The study suggests that the Oxford classification could not be fully validated in IgAVN. Higher portion of immunosuppressant especially before renal biopsy might be the main confounder for the predictive value of Oxford classification in IgAVN.