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The role of the comprehensive complication index for the prediction of survival after liver transplantation

In the last years, several scoring systems based on pre- and post-transplant parameters have been developed to predict early post-LT graft function. However, some of them showed poor diagnostic abilities. This study aims to evaluate the role of the comprehensive complication index (CCI) as a useful...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Lai, Quirino, Melandro, Fabio, Nowak, Greg, Nicolini, Daniele, Iesari, Samuele, Fasolo, Elisa, Mennini, Gianluca, Romano, Antonio, Mocchegiani, Federico, Ackenine, Kevin, Polacco, Marina, Marinelli, Laura, Ciccarelli, Olga, Zanus, Giacomo, Vivarelli, Marco, Cillo, Umberto, Rossi, Massimo, Ericzon, Bo-Göran, Lerut, Jan
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7889667/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32892294
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13304-020-00878-4
Descripción
Sumario:In the last years, several scoring systems based on pre- and post-transplant parameters have been developed to predict early post-LT graft function. However, some of them showed poor diagnostic abilities. This study aims to evaluate the role of the comprehensive complication index (CCI) as a useful scoring system for accurately predicting 90-day and 1-year graft loss after liver transplantation. A training set (n = 1262) and a validation set (n = 520) were obtained. The study was registered at https://www.ClinicalTrials.gov (ID: NCT03723317). CCI exhibited the best diagnostic performance for 90 days in the training (AUC = 0.94; p < 0.001) and Validation Sets (AUC = 0.77; p < 0.001) when compared to the BAR, D-MELD, MELD, and EAD scores. The cut-off value of 47.3 (third quartile) showed a diagnostic odds ratio of 48.3 and 7.0 in the two sets, respectively. As for 1-year graft loss, CCI showed good performances in the training (AUC = 0.88; p < 0.001) and validation sets (AUC = 0.75; p < 0.001). The threshold of 47.3 showed a diagnostic odds ratio of 21.0 and 5.4 in the two sets, respectively. All the other tested scores always showed AUCs < 0.70 in both the sets. CCI showed a good stratification ability in terms of graft loss rates in both the sets (log-rank p < 0.001). In the patients exceeding the CCI ninth decile, 1-year graft survival rates were only 0.7% and 23.1% in training and validation sets, respectively. CCI shows a very good diagnostic power for 90-day and 1-year graft loss in different sets of patients, indicating better accuracy with respect to other pre- and post-LT scores. Clinical Trial Notification: NCT03723317.