Cargando…

Feasibility of very short-term forecast models for COVID-19 hospital-based surveillance

INTRODUCTION: We evaluated the performance of Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) and Holt’s models to forecast the weekly COVID-19 reported cases in six units of a large hospital. METHODS: Cases reported from epidemiologic weeks (EW) 12-37 were selected as the training period, and from EW 38-41 a...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Martinez, Edson Zangiacomi, Passos, Afonso Dinis Costa, Cinto, Antônio Fernando, Escarso, Andreia Cássia, Monteiro, Rosane Aparecida, Silva, Jorgete Maria e, Bellissimo-Rodrigues, Fernando, Aragon, Davi Casale
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical - SBMT 2021
Materias:	Short Communication
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7891562/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33605383 http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0762-2020

Ejemplares similares

Long-term forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic: a dangerous idea
por: Martinez, Edson Zangiacomi, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Short-term forecasting of daily COVID-19 cases in Brazil by using the Holt’s model
por: Martinez, Edson Zangiacomi, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Comorbidities and the risk of death among individuals infected by COVID-19 in Espírito Santo, Brazil
por: Martinez, Edson Zangiacomi, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Prevalence of virological and serological markers of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the population of Ribeirão Preto, Southeast Brazil: an epidemiological survey
por: Martinez, Edson Zangiacomi, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Vitamin A deficiency and association between serum retinol and IGF-1 concentrations in Brazilian children with Down syndrome
por: Ferraz, Ivan Savioli, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Efficacy of Probiotics in Children and Adolescents With Atopic Dermatitis: A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Study
por: de Andrade, Paula Danielle Santa Maria Albuquerque, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

RETREATMENT WITH SURFACTANT IN VERY LOW BIRTH WEIGHT PRETERM INFANTS: RISK PREDICTORS AND THEIR INFLUENCE ON NEONATAL OUTCOMES
por: Ferri, Walusa Assad Gonçalves, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Severe pertussis infection: A clinicopathological study
por: Palvo, Fernando, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Are SARS-CoV-2 reinfection and Covid-19 recurrence possible? a case report from Brazil
por: Bonifácio, Lívia Pimenta, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Factors associated with failure of clinical screening among blood donors who have altered serological results in the Centro Regional de Hemoterapia de Ribeirão Preto
por: Ferreira, Oranice, et al.
Publicado: (2012)

Probabilistic population forecasting: Short to very long-term()
por: Raftery, Adrian E., et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Minimum concentration of Amphotericin B in serum according to the formulation, dose, and daily or prolonged intermittent therapeutic regimen
por: Schiave, Leticia Aparecida, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Isolated Congenital Asplenia in an Asymptomatic Patient: A Very Rare Diagnosis
por: Dinis-Ferreira, Sofia, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Antimicrobial Drug Use and Antibiotic-Resistant Bacteria
por: Bellissimo-Rodrigues, Fernando
Publicado: (2008)

Short-term Covid-19 forecast for latecomers
por: Medeiros, Marcelo C., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Development of a questionnaire to assess knowledge regarding blood donation in a Brazilian population
por: Lucindo Zucoloto, Miriane, et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Blood Donation Knowledge Questionnaire (BDKQ-Brazil): analysis of items and application in primary healthcare users
por: Zucoloto, Miriane Lucindo, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Blood/Injection Fear Scale: Portuguese version, cultural adaptation and psychometric properties in a large sample of primary health care users
por: Zucoloto, Miriane Lucindo, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

High prevalence of blood donor test-seeking behavior among health sciences undergraduate students
por: Zucoloto, Miriane Lucindo, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Potential use of multiple surveillance data in the forecast of hospital admissions
por: Lau, Eric H.Y., et al.
Publicado: (2013)

Emergency preparedness for public health threats, surveillance, modelling & forecasting
por: Bedi, Jasbir Singh, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Spatiotemporal distribution of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome incidence in Brazil between 2012 and 2016
por: Martinez, Edson Zangiacomi, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Sanitary measures to contain COVID-19 spread decreased pediatric hospitalizations due to other respiratory infections in São Paulo, Brazil
por: Altizani, Gabriela Marengone, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting
por: Valenzuela, Olga, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Combining Participatory Influenza Surveillance with Modeling and Forecasting: Three Alternative Approaches
por: Brownstein, John S, et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Effects of drying and storage conditions on the stability of TSH in blood spots
por: Magalhães, Patrícia Künzle Ribeiro, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Impact of children with complex chronic conditions on costs in a tertiary referral hospital
por: Mattiello, Regina Maria Antunes, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Effect of manual hyperinflation with versus without positive end-expiratory pressure on dynamic compliance in pediatric patients following congenital heart surgery: A randomized controlled trial
por: Guimarães, Jéssica Câmara, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Do all infants need vitamin D supplementation?
por: Almeida, Ane Cristina Fayão, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

A data-driven approach to manage type 2 diabetes mellitus through digital health: The Klivo Intervention Program protocol (KIPDM)
por: de Oliveira, Camila Maciel, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Forecasting hospital pneumonia admissions using influenza surveillance, climate and community data
por: Wong, Joshua, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Integrating malaria surveillance with climate data for outbreak detection and forecasting: the EPIDEMIA system
por: Merkord, Christopher L., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Can syndromic surveillance help forecast winter hospital bed pressures in England?
por: Morbey, Roger A., et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Forecasting and Surveillance of COVID-19 Spread Using Google Trends: Literature Review
por: Saegner, Tobias, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Very Short-Term Surface Solar Irradiance Forecasting Based on FengYun-4 Geostationary Satellite
por: Yang, Liwei, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Gauging food and nutritional care quality in hospitals
por: Diez-Garcia, Rosa Wanda, et al.
Publicado: (2012)

Effect of preheating on the maintenance of body temperature in surgical patients: a randomized clinical trial
por: Fuganti, Cibele Cristina Tramontini, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Intercultural Childbirth: Impact on the Maternal Health of the Ecuadorian Kichwa and Mestizo People of the Otavalo Region
por: Matute, Susana Eulalia Dueñas, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Active surveillance for patients with very low‐risk thyroid cancer
por: Lohia, Shivangi, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

A forecast model for prevention of foodborne outbreaks of non-typhoidal salmonellosis
por: Rojas, Fernando, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Cannot write session to /tmp/vufind_sessions/sess_94om8mmsueopaudrpigleibdkv