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Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model

In this paper we consider ant-eating pangolin as a possible source of the novel corona virus (COVID-19) and propose a new mathematical model describing the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic. Our new model is based on the hypotheses that the pangolin and human populations are divided into measurable part...

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Autores principales: Ullah, Abd, Ahmad, Saeed, Rahman, Ghaus ur, Alqarni, M.M., Mahmoud, Emad E.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7892304/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33623730
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.103913
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author Ullah, Abd
Ahmad, Saeed
Rahman, Ghaus ur
Alqarni, M.M.
Mahmoud, Emad E.
author_facet Ullah, Abd
Ahmad, Saeed
Rahman, Ghaus ur
Alqarni, M.M.
Mahmoud, Emad E.
author_sort Ullah, Abd
collection PubMed
description In this paper we consider ant-eating pangolin as a possible source of the novel corona virus (COVID-19) and propose a new mathematical model describing the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic. Our new model is based on the hypotheses that the pangolin and human populations are divided into measurable partitions and also incorporates pangolin bootleg market or reservoir. First we study the important mathematical properties like existence, boundedness and positivity of solution of the proposed model. After finding the threshold quantity for the underlying model, the possible stationary states are explored. We exploit linearization as well as Lyapanuv function theory to exhibit local stability analysis of the model in terms of the threshold quantity. We then discuss the global stability analyses of the newly introduced model and found conditions for its stability in terms of the basic reproduction number. It is also shown that for certain values of [Formula: see text] , our model exhibits a backward bifurcation. Numerical simulations are performed to verify and support our analytical findings.
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spelling pubmed-78923042021-02-19 Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model Ullah, Abd Ahmad, Saeed Rahman, Ghaus ur Alqarni, M.M. Mahmoud, Emad E. Results Phys Article In this paper we consider ant-eating pangolin as a possible source of the novel corona virus (COVID-19) and propose a new mathematical model describing the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic. Our new model is based on the hypotheses that the pangolin and human populations are divided into measurable partitions and also incorporates pangolin bootleg market or reservoir. First we study the important mathematical properties like existence, boundedness and positivity of solution of the proposed model. After finding the threshold quantity for the underlying model, the possible stationary states are explored. We exploit linearization as well as Lyapanuv function theory to exhibit local stability analysis of the model in terms of the threshold quantity. We then discuss the global stability analyses of the newly introduced model and found conditions for its stability in terms of the basic reproduction number. It is also shown that for certain values of [Formula: see text] , our model exhibits a backward bifurcation. Numerical simulations are performed to verify and support our analytical findings. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021-04 2021-02-19 /pmc/articles/PMC7892304/ /pubmed/33623730 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.103913 Text en © 2021 Published by Elsevier B.V. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Ullah, Abd
Ahmad, Saeed
Rahman, Ghaus ur
Alqarni, M.M.
Mahmoud, Emad E.
Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model
title Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model
title_full Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model
title_fullStr Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model
title_full_unstemmed Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model
title_short Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model
title_sort impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of covid-19 model
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7892304/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33623730
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.103913
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