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Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model
In this paper we consider ant-eating pangolin as a possible source of the novel corona virus (COVID-19) and propose a new mathematical model describing the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic. Our new model is based on the hypotheses that the pangolin and human populations are divided into measurable part...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Published by Elsevier B.V.
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7892304/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33623730 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.103913 |
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author | Ullah, Abd Ahmad, Saeed Rahman, Ghaus ur Alqarni, M.M. Mahmoud, Emad E. |
author_facet | Ullah, Abd Ahmad, Saeed Rahman, Ghaus ur Alqarni, M.M. Mahmoud, Emad E. |
author_sort | Ullah, Abd |
collection | PubMed |
description | In this paper we consider ant-eating pangolin as a possible source of the novel corona virus (COVID-19) and propose a new mathematical model describing the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic. Our new model is based on the hypotheses that the pangolin and human populations are divided into measurable partitions and also incorporates pangolin bootleg market or reservoir. First we study the important mathematical properties like existence, boundedness and positivity of solution of the proposed model. After finding the threshold quantity for the underlying model, the possible stationary states are explored. We exploit linearization as well as Lyapanuv function theory to exhibit local stability analysis of the model in terms of the threshold quantity. We then discuss the global stability analyses of the newly introduced model and found conditions for its stability in terms of the basic reproduction number. It is also shown that for certain values of [Formula: see text] , our model exhibits a backward bifurcation. Numerical simulations are performed to verify and support our analytical findings. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7892304 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Published by Elsevier B.V. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-78923042021-02-19 Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model Ullah, Abd Ahmad, Saeed Rahman, Ghaus ur Alqarni, M.M. Mahmoud, Emad E. Results Phys Article In this paper we consider ant-eating pangolin as a possible source of the novel corona virus (COVID-19) and propose a new mathematical model describing the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic. Our new model is based on the hypotheses that the pangolin and human populations are divided into measurable partitions and also incorporates pangolin bootleg market or reservoir. First we study the important mathematical properties like existence, boundedness and positivity of solution of the proposed model. After finding the threshold quantity for the underlying model, the possible stationary states are explored. We exploit linearization as well as Lyapanuv function theory to exhibit local stability analysis of the model in terms of the threshold quantity. We then discuss the global stability analyses of the newly introduced model and found conditions for its stability in terms of the basic reproduction number. It is also shown that for certain values of [Formula: see text] , our model exhibits a backward bifurcation. Numerical simulations are performed to verify and support our analytical findings. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021-04 2021-02-19 /pmc/articles/PMC7892304/ /pubmed/33623730 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.103913 Text en © 2021 Published by Elsevier B.V. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Ullah, Abd Ahmad, Saeed Rahman, Ghaus ur Alqarni, M.M. Mahmoud, Emad E. Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model |
title | Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model |
title_full | Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model |
title_fullStr | Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model |
title_full_unstemmed | Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model |
title_short | Impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of COVID-19 model |
title_sort | impact of pangolin bootleg market on the dynamics of covid-19 model |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7892304/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33623730 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.103913 |
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