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INFEKTA—An agent-based model for transmission of infectious diseases: The COVID-19 case in Bogotá, Colombia

The transmission dynamics of the coronavirus—COVID-19—have challenged humankind at almost every level. Currently, research groups around the globe are trying to figure out such transmission dynamics under special conditions such as separation policies enforced by governments. Mathematical and comput...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Gomez, Jonatan, Prieto, Jeisson, Leon, Elizabeth, Rodríguez, Arles
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7894857/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33606714
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245787
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author Gomez, Jonatan
Prieto, Jeisson
Leon, Elizabeth
Rodríguez, Arles
author_facet Gomez, Jonatan
Prieto, Jeisson
Leon, Elizabeth
Rodríguez, Arles
author_sort Gomez, Jonatan
collection PubMed
description The transmission dynamics of the coronavirus—COVID-19—have challenged humankind at almost every level. Currently, research groups around the globe are trying to figure out such transmission dynamics under special conditions such as separation policies enforced by governments. Mathematical and computational models, like the compartmental model or the agent-based model, are being used for this purpose. This paper proposes an agent-based model, called INFEKTA, for simulating the transmission of infectious diseases, not only the COVID-19, under social distancing policies. INFEKTA combines the transmission dynamic of a specific disease, (according to parameters found in the literature) with demographic information (population density, age, and genre of individuals) of geopolitical regions of the real town or city under study. Agents (virtual persons) can move, according to its mobility routines and the enforced social distancing policy, on a complex network of accessible places defined over an Euclidean space representing the town or city. The transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 under different social distancing policies in Bogotá city, the capital of Colombia, is simulated using INFEKTA with one million virtual persons. A sensitivity analysis of the impact of social distancing policies indicates that it is possible to establish a ‘medium’ (i.e., close 40% of the places) social distancing policy to achieve a significant reduction in the disease transmission.
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spelling pubmed-78948572021-03-01 INFEKTA—An agent-based model for transmission of infectious diseases: The COVID-19 case in Bogotá, Colombia Gomez, Jonatan Prieto, Jeisson Leon, Elizabeth Rodríguez, Arles PLoS One Research Article The transmission dynamics of the coronavirus—COVID-19—have challenged humankind at almost every level. Currently, research groups around the globe are trying to figure out such transmission dynamics under special conditions such as separation policies enforced by governments. Mathematical and computational models, like the compartmental model or the agent-based model, are being used for this purpose. This paper proposes an agent-based model, called INFEKTA, for simulating the transmission of infectious diseases, not only the COVID-19, under social distancing policies. INFEKTA combines the transmission dynamic of a specific disease, (according to parameters found in the literature) with demographic information (population density, age, and genre of individuals) of geopolitical regions of the real town or city under study. Agents (virtual persons) can move, according to its mobility routines and the enforced social distancing policy, on a complex network of accessible places defined over an Euclidean space representing the town or city. The transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 under different social distancing policies in Bogotá city, the capital of Colombia, is simulated using INFEKTA with one million virtual persons. A sensitivity analysis of the impact of social distancing policies indicates that it is possible to establish a ‘medium’ (i.e., close 40% of the places) social distancing policy to achieve a significant reduction in the disease transmission. Public Library of Science 2021-02-19 /pmc/articles/PMC7894857/ /pubmed/33606714 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245787 Text en © 2021 Gomez et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Gomez, Jonatan
Prieto, Jeisson
Leon, Elizabeth
Rodríguez, Arles
INFEKTA—An agent-based model for transmission of infectious diseases: The COVID-19 case in Bogotá, Colombia
title INFEKTA—An agent-based model for transmission of infectious diseases: The COVID-19 case in Bogotá, Colombia
title_full INFEKTA—An agent-based model for transmission of infectious diseases: The COVID-19 case in Bogotá, Colombia
title_fullStr INFEKTA—An agent-based model for transmission of infectious diseases: The COVID-19 case in Bogotá, Colombia
title_full_unstemmed INFEKTA—An agent-based model for transmission of infectious diseases: The COVID-19 case in Bogotá, Colombia
title_short INFEKTA—An agent-based model for transmission of infectious diseases: The COVID-19 case in Bogotá, Colombia
title_sort infekta—an agent-based model for transmission of infectious diseases: the covid-19 case in bogotá, colombia
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7894857/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33606714
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245787
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