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Sigma-Pi Structure with Bernoulli Random Variables: Power-Law Bounds for Probability Distributions and Growth Models with Interdependent Entities

The Sigma-Pi structure investigated in this work consists of the sum of products of an increasing number of identically distributed random variables. It appears in stochastic processes with random coefficients and also in models of growth of entities such as business firms and cities. We study the S...

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Autores principales: Yamashita Rios de Sousa, Arthur Matsuo, Takayasu, Hideki, Sornette, Didier, Takayasu, Misako
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7923192/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33669835
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e23020241
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author Yamashita Rios de Sousa, Arthur Matsuo
Takayasu, Hideki
Sornette, Didier
Takayasu, Misako
author_facet Yamashita Rios de Sousa, Arthur Matsuo
Takayasu, Hideki
Sornette, Didier
Takayasu, Misako
author_sort Yamashita Rios de Sousa, Arthur Matsuo
collection PubMed
description The Sigma-Pi structure investigated in this work consists of the sum of products of an increasing number of identically distributed random variables. It appears in stochastic processes with random coefficients and also in models of growth of entities such as business firms and cities. We study the Sigma-Pi structure with Bernoulli random variables and find that its probability distribution is always bounded from below by a power-law function regardless of whether the random variables are mutually independent or duplicated. In particular, we investigate the case in which the asymptotic probability distribution has always upper and lower power-law bounds with the same tail-index, which depends on the parameters of the distribution of the random variables. We illustrate the Sigma-Pi structure in the context of a simple growth model with successively born entities growing according to a stochastic proportional growth law, taking both Bernoulli, confirming the theoretical results, and half-normal random variables, for which the numerical results can be rationalized using insights from the Bernoulli case. We analyze the interdependence among entities represented by the product terms within the Sigma-Pi structure, the possible presence of memory in growth factors, and the contribution of each product term to the whole Sigma-Pi structure. We highlight the influence of the degree of interdependence among entities in the number of terms that effectively contribute to the total sum of sizes, reaching the limiting case of a single term dominating extreme values of the Sigma-Pi structure when all entities grow independently.
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spelling pubmed-79231922021-03-03 Sigma-Pi Structure with Bernoulli Random Variables: Power-Law Bounds for Probability Distributions and Growth Models with Interdependent Entities Yamashita Rios de Sousa, Arthur Matsuo Takayasu, Hideki Sornette, Didier Takayasu, Misako Entropy (Basel) Article The Sigma-Pi structure investigated in this work consists of the sum of products of an increasing number of identically distributed random variables. It appears in stochastic processes with random coefficients and also in models of growth of entities such as business firms and cities. We study the Sigma-Pi structure with Bernoulli random variables and find that its probability distribution is always bounded from below by a power-law function regardless of whether the random variables are mutually independent or duplicated. In particular, we investigate the case in which the asymptotic probability distribution has always upper and lower power-law bounds with the same tail-index, which depends on the parameters of the distribution of the random variables. We illustrate the Sigma-Pi structure in the context of a simple growth model with successively born entities growing according to a stochastic proportional growth law, taking both Bernoulli, confirming the theoretical results, and half-normal random variables, for which the numerical results can be rationalized using insights from the Bernoulli case. We analyze the interdependence among entities represented by the product terms within the Sigma-Pi structure, the possible presence of memory in growth factors, and the contribution of each product term to the whole Sigma-Pi structure. We highlight the influence of the degree of interdependence among entities in the number of terms that effectively contribute to the total sum of sizes, reaching the limiting case of a single term dominating extreme values of the Sigma-Pi structure when all entities grow independently. MDPI 2021-02-19 /pmc/articles/PMC7923192/ /pubmed/33669835 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e23020241 Text en © 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Yamashita Rios de Sousa, Arthur Matsuo
Takayasu, Hideki
Sornette, Didier
Takayasu, Misako
Sigma-Pi Structure with Bernoulli Random Variables: Power-Law Bounds for Probability Distributions and Growth Models with Interdependent Entities
title Sigma-Pi Structure with Bernoulli Random Variables: Power-Law Bounds for Probability Distributions and Growth Models with Interdependent Entities
title_full Sigma-Pi Structure with Bernoulli Random Variables: Power-Law Bounds for Probability Distributions and Growth Models with Interdependent Entities
title_fullStr Sigma-Pi Structure with Bernoulli Random Variables: Power-Law Bounds for Probability Distributions and Growth Models with Interdependent Entities
title_full_unstemmed Sigma-Pi Structure with Bernoulli Random Variables: Power-Law Bounds for Probability Distributions and Growth Models with Interdependent Entities
title_short Sigma-Pi Structure with Bernoulli Random Variables: Power-Law Bounds for Probability Distributions and Growth Models with Interdependent Entities
title_sort sigma-pi structure with bernoulli random variables: power-law bounds for probability distributions and growth models with interdependent entities
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7923192/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33669835
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e23020241
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