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Evaluating Population Density as a Parameter for Optimizing COVID-19 Testing: Statistical Analysis
BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 transmission risk generally increases with the proximity of those shedding the virus to those susceptible to infection. Thus, this risk is a function of both the number of people and the area they occupy. However, the latter continues to evade the COVID-19 testing policy. OBJE...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
JMIR Publications
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7924706/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33725028 http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/22195 |
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author | Budhwani, Karim I Budhwani, Henna Podbielski, Ben |
author_facet | Budhwani, Karim I Budhwani, Henna Podbielski, Ben |
author_sort | Budhwani, Karim I |
collection | PubMed |
description | BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 transmission risk generally increases with the proximity of those shedding the virus to those susceptible to infection. Thus, this risk is a function of both the number of people and the area they occupy. However, the latter continues to evade the COVID-19 testing policy. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to analyze per capita COVID-19 testing data reported for Alabama to evaluate whether testing realignment along population density, rather than density agnostic per capita, would be more effective. METHODS: Descriptive statistical analyses were performed for population, density, COVID-19 tests administered, and positive cases for all 67 Alabama counties. RESULTS: Tests reported per capita appeared to suggest widespread statewide testing. However, there was little correlation (r=0.28, P=.02) between tests per capita and the number of cases. In terms of population density, new cases were higher in areas with a higher population density, despite relatively lower test rates as a function of density. CONCLUSIONS: Increased testing in areas with lower population density has the potential to induce a false sense of security even as cases continue to rise sharply overall. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7924706 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | JMIR Publications |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-79247062021-03-12 Evaluating Population Density as a Parameter for Optimizing COVID-19 Testing: Statistical Analysis Budhwani, Karim I Budhwani, Henna Podbielski, Ben JMIRx Med Short Paper BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 transmission risk generally increases with the proximity of those shedding the virus to those susceptible to infection. Thus, this risk is a function of both the number of people and the area they occupy. However, the latter continues to evade the COVID-19 testing policy. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to analyze per capita COVID-19 testing data reported for Alabama to evaluate whether testing realignment along population density, rather than density agnostic per capita, would be more effective. METHODS: Descriptive statistical analyses were performed for population, density, COVID-19 tests administered, and positive cases for all 67 Alabama counties. RESULTS: Tests reported per capita appeared to suggest widespread statewide testing. However, there was little correlation (r=0.28, P=.02) between tests per capita and the number of cases. In terms of population density, new cases were higher in areas with a higher population density, despite relatively lower test rates as a function of density. CONCLUSIONS: Increased testing in areas with lower population density has the potential to induce a false sense of security even as cases continue to rise sharply overall. JMIR Publications 2021-02-03 /pmc/articles/PMC7924706/ /pubmed/33725028 http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/22195 Text en ©Karim I Budhwani, Henna Budhwani, Ben Podbielski. Originally published in JMIRx Med (https://med.jmirx.org), 03.02.2021. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work, first published in JMIRx Med, is properly cited. The complete bibliographic information, a link to the original publication on https://med.jmirx.org/, as well as this copyright and license information must be included. |
spellingShingle | Short Paper Budhwani, Karim I Budhwani, Henna Podbielski, Ben Evaluating Population Density as a Parameter for Optimizing COVID-19 Testing: Statistical Analysis |
title | Evaluating Population Density as a Parameter for Optimizing COVID-19 Testing: Statistical Analysis |
title_full | Evaluating Population Density as a Parameter for Optimizing COVID-19 Testing: Statistical Analysis |
title_fullStr | Evaluating Population Density as a Parameter for Optimizing COVID-19 Testing: Statistical Analysis |
title_full_unstemmed | Evaluating Population Density as a Parameter for Optimizing COVID-19 Testing: Statistical Analysis |
title_short | Evaluating Population Density as a Parameter for Optimizing COVID-19 Testing: Statistical Analysis |
title_sort | evaluating population density as a parameter for optimizing covid-19 testing: statistical analysis |
topic | Short Paper |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7924706/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33725028 http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/22195 |
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