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The exposure risk to COVID-19 in most affected countries: A vulnerability assessment model
The world is facing the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19), which began in China. By August 18, 2020, the United States, Brazil, and India were the most affected countries. Health infrastructure and socioeconomic vulnerabilities may be affecting the response capacities of these countries. We compared o...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Public Library of Science
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7932136/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33662028 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0248075 |
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author | Cartaxo, Adriana Nascimento Santos Barbosa, Francisco Iran Cartaxo de Souza Bermejo, Paulo Henrique Moreira, Marina Figueiredo Prata, David Nadler |
author_facet | Cartaxo, Adriana Nascimento Santos Barbosa, Francisco Iran Cartaxo de Souza Bermejo, Paulo Henrique Moreira, Marina Figueiredo Prata, David Nadler |
author_sort | Cartaxo, Adriana Nascimento Santos |
collection | PubMed |
description | The world is facing the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19), which began in China. By August 18, 2020, the United States, Brazil, and India were the most affected countries. Health infrastructure and socioeconomic vulnerabilities may be affecting the response capacities of these countries. We compared official indicators to identify which vulnerabilities better determined the exposure risk to COVID-19 in both the most and least affected countries. To achieve this purpose, we collected indicators from the Infectious Disease Vulnerability Index (IDVI), the World Health Organization (WHO), the World Bank, and the Brazilian Geography and Statistics Institute (IBGE). All indicators were normalized to facilitate comparisons. Speed, incidence, and population were used to identify the groups of countries with the highest and lowest risks of infection. Countries’ response capacities were determined based on socioeconomic, political, and health infrastructure conditions. Vulnerabilities were identified based on the indicator sensitivity. The highest-risk group included the U.S., Brazil, and India, whereas the lowest-risk group (with the largest population by continent) consisted of China, New Zealand, and Germany. The high-sensitivity cluster had 18 indicators (50% extra IDVI), such as merchandise trade, immunization, public services, maternal mortality, life expectancy at birth, hospital beds, GINI index, adolescent fertility, governance, political stability, transparency/corruption, industry, and water supply. The greatest vulnerability of the highest-risk group was related first to economic factors (merchandise trade), followed by public health (immunization), highlighting global dependence on Chinese trade, such as protective materials, equipment, and diagnostic tests. However, domestic political factors had more indicators, beginning with high sensitivity and followed by healthcare and economic conditions, which signified a lesser capacity to guide, coordinate, and supply the population with protective measures, such as social distancing. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7932136 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-79321362021-03-15 The exposure risk to COVID-19 in most affected countries: A vulnerability assessment model Cartaxo, Adriana Nascimento Santos Barbosa, Francisco Iran Cartaxo de Souza Bermejo, Paulo Henrique Moreira, Marina Figueiredo Prata, David Nadler PLoS One Research Article The world is facing the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19), which began in China. By August 18, 2020, the United States, Brazil, and India were the most affected countries. Health infrastructure and socioeconomic vulnerabilities may be affecting the response capacities of these countries. We compared official indicators to identify which vulnerabilities better determined the exposure risk to COVID-19 in both the most and least affected countries. To achieve this purpose, we collected indicators from the Infectious Disease Vulnerability Index (IDVI), the World Health Organization (WHO), the World Bank, and the Brazilian Geography and Statistics Institute (IBGE). All indicators were normalized to facilitate comparisons. Speed, incidence, and population were used to identify the groups of countries with the highest and lowest risks of infection. Countries’ response capacities were determined based on socioeconomic, political, and health infrastructure conditions. Vulnerabilities were identified based on the indicator sensitivity. The highest-risk group included the U.S., Brazil, and India, whereas the lowest-risk group (with the largest population by continent) consisted of China, New Zealand, and Germany. The high-sensitivity cluster had 18 indicators (50% extra IDVI), such as merchandise trade, immunization, public services, maternal mortality, life expectancy at birth, hospital beds, GINI index, adolescent fertility, governance, political stability, transparency/corruption, industry, and water supply. The greatest vulnerability of the highest-risk group was related first to economic factors (merchandise trade), followed by public health (immunization), highlighting global dependence on Chinese trade, such as protective materials, equipment, and diagnostic tests. However, domestic political factors had more indicators, beginning with high sensitivity and followed by healthcare and economic conditions, which signified a lesser capacity to guide, coordinate, and supply the population with protective measures, such as social distancing. Public Library of Science 2021-03-04 /pmc/articles/PMC7932136/ /pubmed/33662028 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0248075 Text en © 2021 Cartaxo et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Cartaxo, Adriana Nascimento Santos Barbosa, Francisco Iran Cartaxo de Souza Bermejo, Paulo Henrique Moreira, Marina Figueiredo Prata, David Nadler The exposure risk to COVID-19 in most affected countries: A vulnerability assessment model |
title | The exposure risk to COVID-19 in most affected countries: A vulnerability assessment model |
title_full | The exposure risk to COVID-19 in most affected countries: A vulnerability assessment model |
title_fullStr | The exposure risk to COVID-19 in most affected countries: A vulnerability assessment model |
title_full_unstemmed | The exposure risk to COVID-19 in most affected countries: A vulnerability assessment model |
title_short | The exposure risk to COVID-19 in most affected countries: A vulnerability assessment model |
title_sort | exposure risk to covid-19 in most affected countries: a vulnerability assessment model |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7932136/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33662028 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0248075 |
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