Metabolically healthy obesity and risk of stroke: a meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies

BACKGROUND: Metabolic healthy obesity (MHO) is a unique subgroup of overweight and obese individuals with normal metabolic characteristics. Its association with the risk of stroke remains unclear. We aimed to examine the risk of stroke in MHO individuals and the further associations between stroke and metabolic abnormalities under different bodyweight conditions. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library from December 1946 to January 2019, and only included prospective cohort studies. Random effects models were used to evaluate the pooled risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) of incident stroke. RESULTS: A total of eight studies comprising 4,256,888 participants were included in the meta-analysis. MHO individuals had an increased risk of stroke compared with metabolically healthy normal weight (MH-NW) individuals (RR =1.17, 95% CI: 1.11–1.23). However, the stroke risk of metabolically healthy overweight individuals was the same (RR =1.02, 95% CI: 0.84–1.23). All groups with unhealthy metabolism had a similarly elevated risk: normal weight (RR =1.83, 95% CI: 1.57–2.14), overweight (RR =1.93, 95% CI: 1.44–2.58), and obesity (RR =2.00, 95% CI: 1.40–2.87). CONCLUSIONS: The meta-analysis confirms a positive association between MHO phenotype and the risk of stroke. Individuals with metabolic abnormalities under different bodyweight conditions are at elevated risk.