Predictive model containing PI-RADS v2 score for postoperative seminal vesicle invasion among prostate cancer patients

BACKGROUND: Seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) is considered to be one of most adverse prognostic findings in prostate cancer, affecting the biochemical progression-free survival and disease-specific survival. Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) has shown excellent specificity in diagnosis of SVI, but with poor sensitivity. The aim of this study is to create a model that includes the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2 (PI-RADS v2) score to predict postoperative SVI in patients without SVI on preoperative mpMRI. METHODS: A total of 262 prostate cancer patients without SVI on preoperative mpMRI who underwent radical prostatectomy (RP) at our institution from January 2012 to July 2019 were enrolled retrospectively. The prostate-specific antigen levels in all patients were <10 ng/mL. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess factors associated with SVI, including the PI-RADS v2 score. A regression coefficient-based model was built for predicting SVI. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to assess the performance of the model. RESULTS: SVI was reported on the RP specimens in 30 patients (11.5%). The univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that biopsy Gleason grade group (GGG) and the PI-RADS v2 score were significant independent predictors of SVI (all P<0.05). The area under the curve of the model was 0.746 (P<0.001). The PI-RADS v2 score <4 and Gleason grade <8 yielded only a 1.8% incidence of SVI with a high negative predictive value of 98.2% (95% CI, 93.0–99.6%). CONCLUSIONS: The PI-RADS v2 score <4 in prostate cancer patients with prostate-specific antigen level <10 ng/mL is associated with a very low risk of SVI. A model based on biopsy Gleason grade and PI-RADS v2 score may help to predict SVI and serve as a tool for the urologists to make surgical plans.