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A time-modulated Hawkes process to model the spread of COVID-19 and the impact of countermeasures()

Motivated by the recent outbreak of coronavirus (COVID-19), we propose a stochastic model of epidemic temporal growth and mitigation based on a time-modulated Hawkes process. The model is sufficiently rich to incorporate specific characteristics of the novel coronavirus, to capture the impact of und...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Garetto, Michele, Leonardi, Emilio, Torrisi, Giovanni Luca
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7953674/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33746561
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.arcontrol.2021.02.002