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A time-modulated Hawkes process to model the spread of COVID-19 and the impact of countermeasures()
Motivated by the recent outbreak of coronavirus (COVID-19), we propose a stochastic model of epidemic temporal growth and mitigation based on a time-modulated Hawkes process. The model is sufficiently rich to incorporate specific characteristics of the novel coronavirus, to capture the impact of und...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
Elsevier Ltd.
2021
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7953674/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33746561 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.arcontrol.2021.02.002 |