The Level of Agreement Among Medical Oncologists on Adjuvant Chemotherapy Decision for Breast Cancer in Pre and Post-Oncotype DX Settings

Introduction: The Oncotype DX assay plays an important role in the identification of the specific subset of hormone receptor (HR)-positive and node-negative breast cancer (BC) patients, who would benefit the most from adjuvant chemotherapy. The current study aimed at assessing the level of agreement among medical oncologists on adjuvant chemotherapy decisions before and after Oncotype DX, as well as the intra-observer agreement of each medical oncologist’s decision of prescribing adjuvant chemotherapy based on clinicopathological and immunohistochemical parameters only and followed by Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS) results. Methods: A retrospective analysis of data related to clinicopathological and immunohistochemical parameters, and Oncotype DX RS result for 145 female, estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, HER2 negative, and both node-negative and positive BC patients was performed. Initially, the data without Oncotype DX RS was sent to 16 oncologists in multiple centers in the Middle East. After one week, the same data with the shuffling of cases were sent to the oncologists with the addition of the Oncotype DX RS result for each patient. The inter and intra-observer agreement (kappa and Fleiss multi-rater kappa) among oncologists' decision of prescribing adjuvant chemotherapy pre and post-Oncotype DX RS results were assessed. Oncotype DX risk scores were used as continuous variables as well as based on old RS grouping, categorized into low (0-17), intermediate (18-30), and high risk (≥ 31) groups. A test with a p-value of < 0 .05 will be considered statistically significant. Results: The mean age ± SD of the cohort was 51.9 ± 9.4 years. Sixty-nine patients (47.6%) were premenopausal whereas 76 patients (52.4%) were postmenopausal. The mean Oncotype DX RS was 17.8 ± 8.6 and 54.5% had low recurrence risk (RR), 37.9% had intermediate RR and only 7.6% had high RR. The majority of our cases were grade two (53.1%) and T stage one (49%), whereas 29.7% had positive one to three lymph nodes. The addition of Oncotype DX results improved the agreement among oncologists' decision from fair to moderate (kappa = 0.52; p <0.001). On average, an oncologist’s decision of prescribing adjuvant chemotherapy pre and post-Oncotype DX had an agreement in 70.6% of the cases, with agreement observed mostly for cases where the initial decision of adjuvant chemotherapy was (no) and it was retained with post-Oncotype DX assay (46.1%), compared to 24.5% cases where the initial decision was (yes) and it was retained with post-Oncotype DX assay (kappa = 0.39; p <0.001). The addition of the Oncotype DX RS result avoided chemotherapy in 20.4% of cases and identified 9% of cases as candidates for adjuvant chemotherapy (kappa = 0.38; p <0.001). The disagreement was highest among cases with intermediate RR (33.6%) followed by high and low RR (31.3% and 21.6%) with a statistical significance of <0.001. Conclusion: We conclude that the Oncotype DX RS significantly influenced the decision to prescribe adjuvant chemotherapy among HR-positive, HER2 negative, and both node-negative and positive patients, as it increased the level of agreement among oncologists and led to a decrease in the use of adjuvant chemotherapy compared to the pre-Oncotype recommendations.