Prediction of internal carotid artery aneurysm recurrence by pressure difference at the coil mass surface

PURPOSE: A previous study on computational fluid dynamics reported that a high pressure difference (PD) at the surface of a coil mass is a strong predictor of aneurysm recurrence after coil embolization. PD was calculated using a virtual post-coiling model (VM), created by manually cutting the aneurysm by the flat plane from an anatomic model created with pre-coil embolization data; however, its credibility has not been fully evaluated. This study aims to clarify whether PD values calculated using the post-coiling model, which reflects the actual coil plane, are a strong predictor of aneurysm recurrence. METHODS: Fifty internal carotid artery aneurysms treated with endovascular coil embolization were analyzed (7 recanalized, 43 stable). We created and subjected two post-coiling models, namely, VM and the real post-coiling model (RM), constructed from the post-coil embolization data. The relationship between PD and aneurysm recurrence was examined using these models. PD and its constituent three parameters were compared between VM and RM. RESULTS: PD values calculated using RM showed significantly higher aneurysm recurrence in recurrence group than stable group (p < 0.001), and multivariate analysis showed that PD in RM (p = 0.02; odds ratio, 36.24) was significantly associated with aneurysm recurrence. The receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed that PD values accurately predicted aneurysm recurrence (area under the curve, 0.977; cutoff value, 3.08; sensitivity, 100%; specificity, 97.7%). All four parameters showed a significant correlation with VM and RM (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Use of PD to predict recurrence after coil embolization can be clinically relevant.