A meta-analysis and systematic review on subtypes of gastric intestinal metaplasia and neoplasia risk

BACKGROUND: Gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) is a significant risk factor for gastric cancer. Risk of gastric cancer/dysplasia between complete intestinal metaplasia (CIM) and incomplete intestinal metaplasia (IIM) was controversial. Our study aimed to pool relative risk (RR) of cancer/dysplasia of IIM compared with CIM in GIM patients. METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library and Web of Science were searched for studies concerning cancer/dysplasia in GIM patients. Random-effects or fixed-effects model was utilized for pooling RR. Sensitivity and publication bias analyses were conducted. Stability of results would be evaluated in case of publication bias. RESULTS: 12 studies were included. Compared with CIM, pooled RR of cancer/dysplasia in IIM patients was 4.48 (95% CI 2.50–8.03), and the RR was 4.96 (95% CI 2.72–9.04) for cancer, and 4.82 (95% CI 1.45–16.0) for dysplasia. The pooled RR for cancer/dysplasia in type III IM was 6.27 (95% CI 1.89–20.77) compared with type II + I IM, while it was 5.55 (95% CI 2.07–14.92) compared with type II IM. Pooled RR between type II IM and type I IM was 1.62 (95% CI 1.16–2.27). Subgroup analyses showed that IIM was associated with a higher risk of gastric cancer/dysplasia in Western population (pooled RR = 4.65 95% CI 2.30–9.42), but not in East Asian population (pooled RR = 4.01 95% CI 0.82–19.61). CONCLUSIONS: IIM was related to a higher risk of cancer/dysplasia compared with CIM. Risk of developing cancer/dysplasia from type I, II, and III intestinal metaplasia increased gradually. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12935-021-01869-0.