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Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics
A modeling approach to investigate the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics coupled with fear is presented in this paper. The basic reproduction number R(0) is computed and employed in analysing the effect of initial transmission and the conditions for disease control or eradication. Numerical simulations...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Hindawi
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7981183/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33777169 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6647425 |
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author | Mpeshe, Saul C. Nyerere, Nkuba |
author_facet | Mpeshe, Saul C. Nyerere, Nkuba |
author_sort | Mpeshe, Saul C. |
collection | PubMed |
description | A modeling approach to investigate the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics coupled with fear is presented in this paper. The basic reproduction number R(0) is computed and employed in analysing the effect of initial transmission and the conditions for disease control or eradication. Numerical simulations show that whenever there is an outbreak coupled with fear, the disease is likely to persist in the first two months, and after that, it will start to slow down as the recovery rate from fear increases. An increase in the number of recovered individuals lead to a rise in the number of susceptibles and consequently set off a second wave of infection in the third month of the epidemic. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7981183 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Hindawi |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-79811832021-03-26 Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics Mpeshe, Saul C. Nyerere, Nkuba Comput Math Methods Med Research Article A modeling approach to investigate the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics coupled with fear is presented in this paper. The basic reproduction number R(0) is computed and employed in analysing the effect of initial transmission and the conditions for disease control or eradication. Numerical simulations show that whenever there is an outbreak coupled with fear, the disease is likely to persist in the first two months, and after that, it will start to slow down as the recovery rate from fear increases. An increase in the number of recovered individuals lead to a rise in the number of susceptibles and consequently set off a second wave of infection in the third month of the epidemic. Hindawi 2021-03-11 /pmc/articles/PMC7981183/ /pubmed/33777169 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6647425 Text en Copyright © 2021 Saul C. Mpeshe and Nkuba Nyerere. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Mpeshe, Saul C. Nyerere, Nkuba Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics |
title | Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics |
title_full | Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics |
title_fullStr | Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics |
title_full_unstemmed | Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics |
title_short | Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics |
title_sort | modeling the dynamics of coronavirus disease pandemic coupled with fear epidemics |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7981183/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33777169 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6647425 |
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