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Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics

A modeling approach to investigate the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics coupled with fear is presented in this paper. The basic reproduction number R(0) is computed and employed in analysing the effect of initial transmission and the conditions for disease control or eradication. Numerical simulations...

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Autores principales: Mpeshe, Saul C., Nyerere, Nkuba
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Hindawi 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7981183/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33777169
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6647425
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author Mpeshe, Saul C.
Nyerere, Nkuba
author_facet Mpeshe, Saul C.
Nyerere, Nkuba
author_sort Mpeshe, Saul C.
collection PubMed
description A modeling approach to investigate the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics coupled with fear is presented in this paper. The basic reproduction number R(0) is computed and employed in analysing the effect of initial transmission and the conditions for disease control or eradication. Numerical simulations show that whenever there is an outbreak coupled with fear, the disease is likely to persist in the first two months, and after that, it will start to slow down as the recovery rate from fear increases. An increase in the number of recovered individuals lead to a rise in the number of susceptibles and consequently set off a second wave of infection in the third month of the epidemic.
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spelling pubmed-79811832021-03-26 Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics Mpeshe, Saul C. Nyerere, Nkuba Comput Math Methods Med Research Article A modeling approach to investigate the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics coupled with fear is presented in this paper. The basic reproduction number R(0) is computed and employed in analysing the effect of initial transmission and the conditions for disease control or eradication. Numerical simulations show that whenever there is an outbreak coupled with fear, the disease is likely to persist in the first two months, and after that, it will start to slow down as the recovery rate from fear increases. An increase in the number of recovered individuals lead to a rise in the number of susceptibles and consequently set off a second wave of infection in the third month of the epidemic. Hindawi 2021-03-11 /pmc/articles/PMC7981183/ /pubmed/33777169 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6647425 Text en Copyright © 2021 Saul C. Mpeshe and Nkuba Nyerere. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Mpeshe, Saul C.
Nyerere, Nkuba
Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics
title Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics
title_full Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics
title_fullStr Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics
title_full_unstemmed Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics
title_short Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics
title_sort modeling the dynamics of coronavirus disease pandemic coupled with fear epidemics
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7981183/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33777169
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6647425
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