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Surprise, surprise: KK is innocent

The Surprise Exam Paradox is well‐known: a teacher announces that there will be a surprise exam the following week; the students argue by an intuitively sound reasoning that this is impossible; and yet they can be surprised by the teacher. We suggest that a solution can be found scattered in the lit...

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Autores principales: Murzi, Julien, Eichhorn, Leonie, Mayr, Philipp
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7986836/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33777499
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/tht3.473
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author Murzi, Julien
Eichhorn, Leonie
Mayr, Philipp
author_facet Murzi, Julien
Eichhorn, Leonie
Mayr, Philipp
author_sort Murzi, Julien
collection PubMed
description The Surprise Exam Paradox is well‐known: a teacher announces that there will be a surprise exam the following week; the students argue by an intuitively sound reasoning that this is impossible; and yet they can be surprised by the teacher. We suggest that a solution can be found scattered in the literature, in part anticipated by Wright and Sudbury, informally developed by Sorensen, and more recently discussed, and dismissed, by Williamson. In a nutshell, the solution consists in realising that the teacher's announcement is a blindspot that can only be known if the week is at least 2 days long. Along the way, we criticise Williamson's own treatment of the paradox. In Williamson's view, the Surprise is similar to the Paradox of the Glimpse and, because of their similarities, both these paradoxes ought to receive a uniform treatment—one that involves locating an illicit application of the KK Principle. We argue that there's no deep analogy between the Surprise and the Glimpse and that, even if there were, the Surprise reasoning reaches a paradoxical conclusion before the KK Principle is used. Rather, in both the Surprise and the Glimpse, the blame should be put on other epistemic principles—respectively, a knowledge retention and a margin for error principle.
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spelling pubmed-79868362021-03-25 Surprise, surprise: KK is innocent Murzi, Julien Eichhorn, Leonie Mayr, Philipp Thought (Hoboken) Original Articles The Surprise Exam Paradox is well‐known: a teacher announces that there will be a surprise exam the following week; the students argue by an intuitively sound reasoning that this is impossible; and yet they can be surprised by the teacher. We suggest that a solution can be found scattered in the literature, in part anticipated by Wright and Sudbury, informally developed by Sorensen, and more recently discussed, and dismissed, by Williamson. In a nutshell, the solution consists in realising that the teacher's announcement is a blindspot that can only be known if the week is at least 2 days long. Along the way, we criticise Williamson's own treatment of the paradox. In Williamson's view, the Surprise is similar to the Paradox of the Glimpse and, because of their similarities, both these paradoxes ought to receive a uniform treatment—one that involves locating an illicit application of the KK Principle. We argue that there's no deep analogy between the Surprise and the Glimpse and that, even if there were, the Surprise reasoning reaches a paradoxical conclusion before the KK Principle is used. Rather, in both the Surprise and the Glimpse, the blame should be put on other epistemic principles—respectively, a knowledge retention and a margin for error principle. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 2021-02-16 2021-03 /pmc/articles/PMC7986836/ /pubmed/33777499 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/tht3.473 Text en © 2021 The Authors. Thought: A Journal of Philosophy published by The Thought Trust and Wiley Periodicals LLC. This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Original Articles
Murzi, Julien
Eichhorn, Leonie
Mayr, Philipp
Surprise, surprise: KK is innocent
title Surprise, surprise: KK is innocent
title_full Surprise, surprise: KK is innocent
title_fullStr Surprise, surprise: KK is innocent
title_full_unstemmed Surprise, surprise: KK is innocent
title_short Surprise, surprise: KK is innocent
title_sort surprise, surprise: kk is innocent
topic Original Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7986836/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33777499
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/tht3.473
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