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Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network
Universities have turned to SARS-CoV-2 models to examine campus reopening strategies(1–9). While these studies have explored a variety of modeling techniques, all have relied on simulated data. Here, we use an empirical proximity network of college freshmen(10), ascertained using smartphone Bluetoot...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7987029/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33758870 http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.09.21253198 |
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author | Hambridge, Hali L. Kahn, Rebecca Onnela, Jukka-Pekka |
author_facet | Hambridge, Hali L. Kahn, Rebecca Onnela, Jukka-Pekka |
author_sort | Hambridge, Hali L. |
collection | PubMed |
description | Universities have turned to SARS-CoV-2 models to examine campus reopening strategies(1–9). While these studies have explored a variety of modeling techniques, all have relied on simulated data. Here, we use an empirical proximity network of college freshmen(10), ascertained using smartphone Bluetooth, to simulate the spread of the virus. We investigate the role of testing, isolation, mask wearing, and social distancing in the presence of implementation challenges and imperfect compliance. Here we show that while frequent testing can drastically reduce spread if mask wearing and social distancing are not widely adopted, testing has limited impact if they are ubiquitous. Furthermore, even moderate levels of immunity can significantly reduce new infections, especially when combined with other interventions. Our findings suggest that while testing and isolation are powerful tools, they have limited benefit if other interventions are widely adopted. If universities can attain high levels of masking and social distancing, they may be able to relax testing frequency to once every two to four weeks. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-7987029 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-79870292021-03-24 Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network Hambridge, Hali L. Kahn, Rebecca Onnela, Jukka-Pekka medRxiv Article Universities have turned to SARS-CoV-2 models to examine campus reopening strategies(1–9). While these studies have explored a variety of modeling techniques, all have relied on simulated data. Here, we use an empirical proximity network of college freshmen(10), ascertained using smartphone Bluetooth, to simulate the spread of the virus. We investigate the role of testing, isolation, mask wearing, and social distancing in the presence of implementation challenges and imperfect compliance. Here we show that while frequent testing can drastically reduce spread if mask wearing and social distancing are not widely adopted, testing has limited impact if they are ubiquitous. Furthermore, even moderate levels of immunity can significantly reduce new infections, especially when combined with other interventions. Our findings suggest that while testing and isolation are powerful tools, they have limited benefit if other interventions are widely adopted. If universities can attain high levels of masking and social distancing, they may be able to relax testing frequency to once every two to four weeks. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 2021-04-10 /pmc/articles/PMC7987029/ /pubmed/33758870 http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.09.21253198 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) , which allows reusers to copy and distribute the material in any medium or format in unadapted form only, for noncommercial purposes only, and only so long as attribution is given to the creator. |
spellingShingle | Article Hambridge, Hali L. Kahn, Rebecca Onnela, Jukka-Pekka Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network |
title | Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network |
title_full | Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network |
title_fullStr | Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network |
title_full_unstemmed | Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network |
title_short | Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network |
title_sort | examining sars-cov-2 interventions in residential colleges using an empirical network |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7987029/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33758870 http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.09.21253198 |
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