Cargando…

Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network

Universities have turned to SARS-CoV-2 models to examine campus reopening strategies(1–9). While these studies have explored a variety of modeling techniques, all have relied on simulated data. Here, we use an empirical proximity network of college freshmen(10), ascertained using smartphone Bluetoot...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Hambridge, Hali L., Kahn, Rebecca, Onnela, Jukka-Pekka
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7987029/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33758870
http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.09.21253198
_version_ 1783668551392952320
author Hambridge, Hali L.
Kahn, Rebecca
Onnela, Jukka-Pekka
author_facet Hambridge, Hali L.
Kahn, Rebecca
Onnela, Jukka-Pekka
author_sort Hambridge, Hali L.
collection PubMed
description Universities have turned to SARS-CoV-2 models to examine campus reopening strategies(1–9). While these studies have explored a variety of modeling techniques, all have relied on simulated data. Here, we use an empirical proximity network of college freshmen(10), ascertained using smartphone Bluetooth, to simulate the spread of the virus. We investigate the role of testing, isolation, mask wearing, and social distancing in the presence of implementation challenges and imperfect compliance. Here we show that while frequent testing can drastically reduce spread if mask wearing and social distancing are not widely adopted, testing has limited impact if they are ubiquitous. Furthermore, even moderate levels of immunity can significantly reduce new infections, especially when combined with other interventions. Our findings suggest that while testing and isolation are powerful tools, they have limited benefit if other interventions are widely adopted. If universities can attain high levels of masking and social distancing, they may be able to relax testing frequency to once every two to four weeks.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-7987029
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2021
publisher Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-79870292021-03-24 Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network Hambridge, Hali L. Kahn, Rebecca Onnela, Jukka-Pekka medRxiv Article Universities have turned to SARS-CoV-2 models to examine campus reopening strategies(1–9). While these studies have explored a variety of modeling techniques, all have relied on simulated data. Here, we use an empirical proximity network of college freshmen(10), ascertained using smartphone Bluetooth, to simulate the spread of the virus. We investigate the role of testing, isolation, mask wearing, and social distancing in the presence of implementation challenges and imperfect compliance. Here we show that while frequent testing can drastically reduce spread if mask wearing and social distancing are not widely adopted, testing has limited impact if they are ubiquitous. Furthermore, even moderate levels of immunity can significantly reduce new infections, especially when combined with other interventions. Our findings suggest that while testing and isolation are powerful tools, they have limited benefit if other interventions are widely adopted. If universities can attain high levels of masking and social distancing, they may be able to relax testing frequency to once every two to four weeks. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 2021-04-10 /pmc/articles/PMC7987029/ /pubmed/33758870 http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.09.21253198 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) , which allows reusers to copy and distribute the material in any medium or format in unadapted form only, for noncommercial purposes only, and only so long as attribution is given to the creator.
spellingShingle Article
Hambridge, Hali L.
Kahn, Rebecca
Onnela, Jukka-Pekka
Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network
title Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network
title_full Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network
title_fullStr Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network
title_full_unstemmed Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network
title_short Examining SARS-CoV-2 Interventions in Residential Colleges Using an Empirical Network
title_sort examining sars-cov-2 interventions in residential colleges using an empirical network
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7987029/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33758870
http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.09.21253198
work_keys_str_mv AT hambridgehalil examiningsarscov2interventionsinresidentialcollegesusinganempiricalnetwork
AT kahnrebecca examiningsarscov2interventionsinresidentialcollegesusinganempiricalnetwork
AT onnelajukkapekka examiningsarscov2interventionsinresidentialcollegesusinganempiricalnetwork