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Modeling the dynamics of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) via stochastic epidemic model

In this article we propose a stochastic model to discuss the dynamics of novel corona virus disease. We formulate the model to study the long run behavior in varying population environment. For this purposes we divided the total human population into three epidemiological compartments: the susceptib...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Khan, Tahir, Zaman, Gul, El-Khatib, Youssef
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7999738/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33816091
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104004
Descripción
Sumario:In this article we propose a stochastic model to discuss the dynamics of novel corona virus disease. We formulate the model to study the long run behavior in varying population environment. For this purposes we divided the total human population into three epidemiological compartments: the susceptible, covid-19 infected, recovered and recovered along with one class of reservoir. The existence and uniqueness of the newly formulated model will be studied to show the well-possedness of the model. Moreover, we investigate the extinction analysis as well as the persistence analysis to find the disease extinction and disease persistence conditions. At the end we perform simulation to justify the investigation of analytical work with the help of graphical representations.