Thermodynamics and Kinetics of Drug-Target Binding by Molecular Simulation

[Image: see text] Computational studies play an increasingly important role in chemistry and biophysics, mainly thanks to improvements in hardware and algorithms. In drug discovery and development, computational studies can reduce the costs and risks of bringing a new medicine to market. Computational simulations are mainly used to optimize promising new compounds by estimating their binding affinity to proteins. This is challenging due to the complexity of the simulated system. To assess the present and future value of simulation for drug discovery, we review key applications of advanced methods for sampling complex free-energy landscapes at near nonergodicity conditions and for estimating the rate coefficients of very slow processes of pharmacological interest. We outline the statistical mechanics and computational background behind this research, including methods such as steered molecular dynamics and metadynamics. We review recent applications to pharmacology and drug discovery and discuss possible guidelines for the practitioner. Recent trends in machine learning are also briefly discussed. Thanks to the rapid development of methods for characterizing and quantifying rare events, simulation’s role in drug discovery is likely to expand, making it a valuable complement to experimental and clinical approaches.